Tuesday 21 June 2022

VIX and Index update

 US equity indexes closed very significantly higher, SPX +90pts (2.4%) at 3764. Nasdaq comp' +2.5%. Dow +2.1%. The Transports settled +1.5%. R2K +1.8%. 

sp'daily5


nasdaq comp'



r2k


transports


Summary

SPX: Opening significantly higher, pushing to 3379, settling +89pts (2.4%) to 3764. S/t price structure leans to the bulls. Green gap looks just about viable... before resuming lower. A tag of red gap would be a minimum downside target in the next down wave.

NAS: a second day higher, settling +2.5% to 11069. Bearish to around psy'10k. There are even a few within the mainstream that have been touting 9k.

R2K: settling +1.8% to 168.13. Having recently exceeded primary target of the 166s, next target is around 150, which will arguably sync with sp'3500/400s.

Trans: settling +1.5% to 13061. Primary target remains around 12000.

VIX'daily


With positive equities, volatility was ground lower, the VIX settling -3.0% to 30.19. Broadly though... we're still dealing with a very elevated VIX, reflective of an equity market that is prone to regular 2-3% swings. A spike into the 40s, if not the 50s looks realistic with equity capitulation in July.


Looking ahead by 6pm EST