Saturday, 7 February 2026

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a mixed week for US equity indexes, with net weekly changes ranging from +8.7% (Transports), +2.5% (Dow), +2.2% (NYSE comp'), +2.1% (R2K), -0.1% (SPX), to -1.8% (Nasdaq comp').

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes (monthly candle charts) 

sp'500


Nasdaq comp'

Dow


NYSE comp'


R2K


Trans

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Summary

Four indexes were net higher for the week, with two net lower.

The 'old leader' - Transports, powerfully lead the way up, whilst the Nasdaq was sig' lower.

The Dow, NYSE comp', and the Transports broke new historic highs.

More broadly, all six indexes are trading above their respective 10MA and have positive monthly momentum.  

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Looking ahead

Earnings:

M - $CLF $PGY $APO $MNDY $KD $CNA $SBH $AIOT $AVXL $DT $ON $AMKR $OPEN $SVM $PNNT $MEDP $GT $ACGL $SSD $UPWK 

T -$KO $CVS $SPOT $HAS $DDOG $FISV $SPGI $AZN $RACE $OSCR $MAR $HOOD $ALAB $F $LYFT $UPST $GILD $NET $EW $AIG $ZG 

W -$SHOP $VRT $U $HUM $KHC $TMUS $GFS $MCD $OTLY $NTES $APP $ALB $CSCO $QS $HUBS $CRK $AUR $FSLY $CFLT $CGNX

T -$NBIS $MLCO $BN $HWM $CROX $ZTS $PCG $BIRK $AEP $COIN $PINS $ANET $RIVN $FROG $TOST $DKNG $AMAT $EXPE $BROS 

F - $MRNA $CCJ $WEN $AAP $ENB $CIGI $SXT $MGA $TRP $ESNT 

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Econ-data/events

M -

T -NFIB optimism, employment cost, import prices, retail sales, busi' invent

W - Monthly jobs, US T-budget (2pm)

T - Weekly jobs, existing home sales

F - CPI... on a Friday the 13th. 

*With Monday 16th CLOSED, the preceding Friday will be inclined to be subdued on low vol 

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Final note

Tuesday through Thursday was rough, but Friday ended on a very strong note. Are we already back to 'everything is fine' mode, with net upside into March? 

... and what about gold/silver? Thursday saw the precious metals receive another smackdown, if bouncing with the main market on Friday. I'm still very much mid/long term bullish the metals, but I'm very conflicted about the short term. 

Many will understandably be focused on the Superbowl this weekend. There is something to be said for bread and circuses, to distract from the underlying horror of a disintegrating western culture.

Enjoy your bread... and the game. 


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Have a good weekend
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*the next post on this page will likely appear 6pm EST on Monday.

Friday, 6 February 2026

Bouncing into the weekend

US equity indexes closed very significantly higher, SPX +133pts (2.0%) at 6932. Nasdaq comp' +2.2%. Dow +2.5%. The Transports settled +1.8%. R2K +3.7%

SPX - daily



VIX - daily



Summary

Equities opened broadly higher, with the SPX pushing to 6944, and settling at 6932.

Volatility was ground lower, the VIX settling -18.4% to 17.76.
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Thursday, 5 February 2026

A naturally red Thursday

US equity indexes closed significantly lower, SPX -84pts (1.2%) at 6798. Nasdaq comp' -1.6%. Dow -1.2%. The Transports settled -0.9%. R2K -1.8%

SPX - daily



VIX - daily



Summary

US equities opened broadly lower. There were numerous bounce attempts, but they were all sold into, the SPX printing a low of 6780, and settling at 6798.

Volatility significantly climbed, the VIX printing 23.10, and settling +16.8% to 21.77.


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