Saturday, 19 September 2026

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a bearish week for most US equity indexes, with net weekly changes ranging from -2.7% (Transports), -1.7% (Dow), -1.4% (NYSE comp', R2K), -0.1% (SPX), to +0.7% (Nasdaq comp').

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans

Summary

Five US equity indexes were net lower for the week, with one net higher.

The 'old leader' - Transports, was rather powerfully lower, whilst the Nasdaq was moderately higher. 

Looking ahead

The schedule is light, with Q3 soon to end.

Earnings:

M - $ABVX

T - $THO $MLKN $AZO $KBH $WOR $AYTU

W - $CBRL $GIS $CTAS $PAYX $SFIX $FUL $NEOV 

T - $BB $DRI $SNX $COST $LGCY $SCHL 

F -

-

Econ-data/events

M -

T -

W - PMI Manu' & Serv', EIA Pet'

T - Weekly jobs, New home sales 

F - Durable goods orders, consumer sent'. 

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Final note

Wednesday's rate hike is a concern to many, but it really shouldn't. Equities typically climb with rising rates, with a rate cut being the ultimate equity sell signal. 

S/t bullish into end month. October will inherently favour the bears, not least ahead of the midterms. Once we're on the flip side of that... the Anthropic IPO would be one excuse for renewed mainstream hysteria.

My only real concern is geo-political, but then... it always is.
 

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Have a good weekend
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*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EST on Monday.

Friday, 18 September 2026

QUAD-OPEX into the weekend

US equity indexes closed moderately mixed, SPX +12pts (0.2%) at 7650. Nasdaq comp' +0.4%. Dow -0.2%. The Transports settled -0.5%. R2K -0.5% 

SPX – daily

VIX – daily

Summary

Equities opened choppy, leaning a little weak to 7610, and settling marginally higher at 7650. 
Volatility was ground a little lower, the VIX settling -4.1% to 14.81.  

Night falls across Europe... 


... as the proxy war... 


... appears set to turn into a direct war

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Thursday, 17 September 2026

Day One UP

US equity indexes closed significantly higher, SPX +85pts (1.1%) at 7637. Nasdaq comp' +1.7%. Dow +0.6%. The Transports settled +0.5%. R2K +0.6% 

SPX – daily

VIX – daily

Summary

US equities opened broadly higher, and whilst the initial gains were shaky, the market clawed upward, settling significantly higher. Volatility was whacked back lower, the VIX settling -12.8% to 15.44. 

Full moon will be Sept' 26th

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