Monday, 14 September 2026

Monday upside reversal

US equity indexes mostly closed on a weak note, SPX -37pts (0.5%) at 7619. Nasdaq comp' -0.6%. Dow -0.3%. The Transports settled +0.5%. R2K -0.3%

SPX – daily

VIX – daily


Summary

US equities opened weak, but all the bears could manage was 7592, an effective fill of last Friday's opening gap. From there... a choppy bounce to settle moderately lower at 7619.

Volatility was mixed, the VIX printing an opening high of 17.72, but cooling back to settle +7.9% to 17.10.
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Bullish construction
 

WTIC >$100 isn't helping the airlines


The golden hellscape



... another day closer to the fall



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Saturday, 12 September 2026

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a bearish week for US equity indexes, with net weekly declines ranging from -2.4% (R2K), 1,8% (Trans), -1.6% (Dow), -1.2% (NYSE comp'), -0.8% (SPX), to -0.7% (Nasdaq comp').

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes (monthly candle charts)

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans

Summary

All six US equity indexes were net lower for the week.

The two leaders - R2K and Trans, lead the way down, whilst the Nasdaq was most resilient. 

More broadly, all six US equity indexes are trading above their respective monthly 10MA, and have positive monthly momentum.

Looking ahead

Earnings:

M - $RFIL $HAIN $HITI $PLAY $HYFT $KMTS 

T - $FPS $VRA $BIOX $TCOM $EPM 

W - $LUXE $ISPR $LEN 

T - $IPHA 

F -

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Econ-data/events

M -

T - Empire state manu'

W - Retail sales, import prices, Manu' & Trade invent', housing market index, EIA Pet' 

2pm FOMC announcement. 2.30pm Press conf'.  

T - Weekly jobs, housing starts, Phil' Fed, Pending home sales

F - Indust' prod', leading indicators   *OPEX*

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Final note

A bearish week, but nothing that merits any hysteria, as the bigger monthly charts remain bullish.

The coming week will see a rate hike, something that has been a pretty obvious call for many months. There are still a few in the mainstream who are in denial of course. After all, all they really care about is that the printers are spinning (they currently are... at $40bn a month), and low/zero/negative rates.  

I see that the Anthropic IPO has apparently now been scheduled for late October. Mr Market will be inherently inclined to protect this AI monster, and I wonder if we'll see net upside into it.

In any case... summer is set to end in around ten days. 
Not all will make it to the flip side of winter 2026/27. 
 

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Have a good weekend
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*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EST on Monday.

Friday, 11 September 2026

A quarter century

US equity indexes closed broadly higher, SPX +65pts (0.9%) at 7656. Nasdaq comp' +1.0%. Dow +1.0%. The Transports settled +0.3%. R2K +0.5%

SPX – daily


VIX – daily


Summary

Equities broke the s/t bearish trend, ending the week on a broadly positive note.

Volatility was ground lower into the weekend, the VIX settling -11.2% to 15.84. 

Today was a quarter century since the primary geo-political event of the early 21st century. 
It has clearly become monstrously worse, for what is now an era of increasing dystopic horror.  

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Golden rays... onto the hellscape

... as the war continues

There is no realistic hope
 

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