Friday 26 April 2024

Upside into the weekend

US equity indexes mostly closed significantly higher, SPX +51pts (1.0%) at 5099. Nasdaq comp' +2.0%. Dow +0.4%. The Transports settled -0.8%. R2K +1.0%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened broadly higher, with the SPX building significant gains to 5114. The afternoon saw considerable chop, to settle at 5099.

Volatility was ground lower into the weekend, the VIX settling -2.2% to 15.03.
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Looking towards the city


Topping out


8c/46f... chilly


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 

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Thursday 25 April 2024

A red Thursday

US equity indexes mostly closed on a weak note, SPX -23pts (0.5%) at 5048. Nasdaq comp' -0.6%. Dow -1.0%. The Transports settled +1.5%. R2K -0.6%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

The day began in pre-market with the latest GDP data...

 

Equities duly opened significantly lower, with the SPX seeing a morning floor of 4990. From there... a recovery to settle moderately lower at 5048.

Volatility was mixed, the VIX printing 17.55, but cooling back to settle -3.8% to 15.37.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 

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Wednesday 24 April 2024

Midweek swings

US equity indexes closed rather mixed, SPX +1pt (0.02%) at 5071. Nasdaq comp' +0.1%. Dow -0.1%. The Transports settled -2.3%. R2K -0.4%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened on a positive note, with the SPX seeing an early high of 5089. From there... cooling to 5047, with a secondary bounce to settle at 5071.

Volatility was a little mixed, the VIX printing an early low of 15.64, a high of 16.38, and settling +1.8% to 15.97.
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Ascending... unlike Boeing stock

See: Takeoff video


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 

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Tuesday 23 April 2024

Bounce day two

US equity indexes closed significantly higher, SPX +59pts (1.2%) at 5070. Nasdaq comp' +1.6%. Dow +0.7%. The Transports settled +1.4%. R2K +1.6%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened moderately higher, with the SPX battling upward to 5076, and settling at 5070.

Volatility was ground lower for a second day, the VIX settling -7.4% to 15.69.
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Yours... 100%


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 

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Monday 22 April 2024

Bounce mode

US equity indexes closed significantly higher, SPX +43pts (0.9%) at 5010. Nasdaq comp' +1.1%. Dow +0.7%. The Transports settled +0.9%. R2K +1.1%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened moderately higher, the SPX pushing to 4996, but cooling to 4969. There was a far stronger secondary upward push to 5038, and settling at 5010.

Volatility was ground lower, the VIX settling -9.5% to 16.94.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 

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Saturday 20 April 2024

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a bearish week for most US equity indexes, with net weekly changes ranging from -5.5% (Nasdaq comp'), -3.0% (SPX), -2.8% (R2K), -2.7% (Trans), -1.0% (NYSE comp'), to +0.01% (Dow).

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans

Summary

Five US equity indexes were net lower for the week, with one fractionally higher.

The Nasdaq lead the way down, whilst the Dow was very resilient. 

All six US equity indexes have negative weekly momentum, and are trading under their respective weekly 10MA. 

Zero sign of a s/t floor/turn, as the market is distinctly s/t broken.

Looking ahead

A very busy week is ahead, with a monster truck load of big name earnings. Mr Market will also be looking at the first print of Q1 GDP and the PCE data.

Earnings:

M - VZ, AZZ, ACI, TFC, ZION, HBT, WASH, SIFY, CLF, NUE, SAP, CDNS, AGNC, AMP, GL, MEDP, PKG, ARE

T - GM, UPS, GE, PEP, LMT, FCX, SPOt, RTX, JBLU, HAL, TSLA, V, ENPH, TXN, STLD, CB, STX, BKR, WFRD, MAT

W - BA, T, VRT, HUM, GD, ODFL, APH, BSX, BIIB, META, IBM, F, CMG, NOW, VKTX, LRCX, CLS, VALE, ALGN

T - RCL, AAL, NEM, MO, CAT, LUV, BMY, MBLY, AZN, OSIS, MSFT, GOOGL, INTC, SNAP, ROKU, WDC, DXCM, TMUS, GILD, AEM

F - XOM, CVX, ABBV, CL, HCA, CHTR, ACMR, ALV, CNX, BALL

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Econ-data/events

M - -

T - PMI serv', PMI manu', new home sales

W - Durable goods orders, EIA Pet'

T - GDP Q1 (print 1), weekly jobs, intl' trade, pending home sales

F - Pers' income/outlays, PCE, consumer sent'.

-

Final note

A third week for the equity bears. Whilst the decline of -311pts (5.9%) from 5264 to 4953 is interesting, it doesn't merit any bearish hysteria, as the m/t trend is STILL bullish.

This week's SPX close <5K threatens another 5% lower to around 4700, where we have multiple aspects of m/t support.

The 'wild card' of Israel/Iran appears set to escalate in the weeks ahead. That will be bearish for equities, but bullish the holy trinity of gold, silver, and oil. Thursday's overnight action is supportive of that notion.

Even if you don't want to trade it, I just hope you have enough popcorn for the big show, as planet Krazy is set to become increasingly insane... all the way into the Fall.


For details > https://www.tradingsunset.com

Have a good weekend
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*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EDT on Monday.

Friday 19 April 2024

A very weak OPEX

US equity indexes closed very mixed, SPX -43pts (0.9%) at 4967. Nasdaq comp' -2.0%. Dow +0.6%. The Transports settled +0.9%. R2K +0.1%. 

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened in minor chop mode. The bulls could only manage 5019, with SPX duly resuming lower, printing a new cycle low of 4953, and settling at 4967. Volatility remained elevated, the VIX settling +3.9% to 18.71. Today's net gain for OPEX is very unusual.
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Sycamore (I think)


Full moon will be April 24th


A fine spring day


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 

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Thursday 18 April 2024

Still struggling

US equity indexes closed a little mixed, SPX -11pts (0.2%) at 5011. Nasdaq comp' -0.5%. Dow +0.1%. The Transports settled -0.3%. R2K -0.1%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened in minor chop mode. The SPX clawed to 5056.66, but then leaned weak to print a new cycle low of 5001, and settling at 5011. Volatility remained elevated, the VIX settling -1.1% at 18.00.


 

For details >> https://www.tradingsunset.com

Wednesday 17 April 2024

Testing 5000

US equity indexes closed on a weak note, SPX -29pts (0.6%) at 5022. Nasdaq comp' -1.1%. Dow -0.1%. The Transports settled -1.7%. R2K -1.1%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened moderately higher, but once again... for the fifth time in ten days, equities saw a rather ugly downside reversal. The SPX broke a new cycle low of 5007, an effective test of giant psy' 5K. From mid afternoon.. a vain bounce attempt, settling at 5022.

Volatility remained elevated, the VIX 19.11, if cooling back to settle -1.0% to 18.21.

--

 

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Tuesday 16 April 2024

Lower lows, lower highs

US equity indexes mostly closed a little weak, SPX -10pts (0.2%) at 5051. Nasdaq comp' -0.1%. Dow +0.2%. The Transports settled -0.9%. R2K -0.3%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened a little choppy, as pre-market moderate gains failed to hold. The SPX leaned weak, printing a new cycle low of 5039, and settling at 5051. Volatility remained elevated, the VIX printing 19.45, if cooling back to settle -4.3% to 18.40. 


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 

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Monday 15 April 2024

Ugly downside reversal

US equity indexes closed significantly lower, SPX -61pts (1.2%) at 5061. Nasdaq comp' -1.8%. Dow -0.6%. The Transports settled -0.7%. R2K -1.4%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened broadly higher, but the gains didn't last long. The SPX swung from 5168 to 5052, and settling at 5061. For the bulls, it was another ugly downside reversal, the fourth of the last eight trading days.

WTIC will be prone to hyper spiking


Volatility was mixed, the VIX seeing an early low of 16.26, but spiking upward to 19.46, and settling +11.1% to 19.23.

-

Sunshine and showers

 




Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://twitter.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 

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