Friday 26 July 2024

Climbing into the weekend

US equity indexes closed significantly higher, SPX +59pts (1.1%) at 5459. Nasdaq comp' +1.0%. Dow +1.6%. The Transports settled +1.7%%. R2K +1.7%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened broadly higher, and whilst the gains were a little shaky, the market kept leaning back upward. The SPX built very significant gains, printing 5488, and settling at 5459.

Volatility was (rather naturally) ground lower into the the weekend, VIX settling -11.2% to 16.39.
-

19c/66f... bearable.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 

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Thursday 25 July 2024

A dynamic Thursday

US equity indexes closed very mixed, SPX -27pts (0.5%) at 5399. Nasdaq comp' -0.9%. Dow +0.2%. The Transports settled +1.3%. R2K +1.2%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened in minor chop mode, but it didn't take long for the SPX to lean moderately weak to break a new cycle low of 5390. However, there was a rather powerful upside reversal, printing 5491, but cooling back to settle at 5399.

Volatility was very mixed, the VIX printing a new cycle high of 19.36, cooling back to 16.42, and settling +2.3% to 18.46.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Wednesday 24 July 2024

Bearish midweek

US equity indexes closed very significantly lower, SPX -128pts (2.3%) at 5427. Nasdaq comp' -3.6%. Dow -1.2%. The Transports settled -1.2%. R2K -2.1%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily


Summary

US equities opened significantly higher. Early price action wasn't pretty, with every bounce attempt failing. The SPX fell into the late afternoon, printing 5419, and settling at 5427.

Volatility picked up, the VIX printing 18.46, and settling +22.5% to 18.04.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 
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Tuesday 23 July 2024

Choppy Tuesday

US equity indexes mostly closed a little weak, SPX -8pts (0.2%) at 5555. Nasdaq comp' -0.1%. Dow -0.1%. The Transports settled -1.5%. R2K +1.0%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened a little choppy, if leaning upward to 5585, cooling to 5550, and settling at 5555.

Volatility was ground lower, the VIX settling -1.3% to 14.72.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 

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Monday 22 July 2024

Monday bounce

US equity indexes closed significantly higher, SPX +59pts (1.1%) at 5564. Nasdaq comp' +1.6%. Dow +0.3%. The Transports settled +0.7%. R2K +1.6%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened moderately higher... and whilst there were a few cooling waves, the market kept resuming upward. Volatility cooled back, the VIX settling -9.7% to 14.91.
-

A fine summer day


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Goodnight from London
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Saturday 20 July 2024

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a mixed week for US equity indexes, with net weekly changes ranging from +1.7% (R2K, Trans), +0.7% (Dow), -0.5% (NYSE comp'), -2.0% (SPX), to -3.6% (Nasdaq comp').

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes.

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans

Summary

Three US equity indexes were net lower for the week, with three net higher.

The two leaders - Trans/R2K, lead the way up, whilst the Nasdaq comp' was powerfully lower.

The SPX, Nasdaq comp', Dow, and NYSE comp' broke new historic highs.

Looking ahead

Earnings:

M - $VZ $TFC $BOH $HBT $CLF $NUE $NXPI $SAP $MEDP $CCK $CDNS $AGNC $ARE $ZION

T - $SPOT $UPS $GE $GM $KO $FCX $LMT $CMCSA $PII $PM $TSLA $GOOGL $ENPH $V $TXN $CB $STX $COF $CALM $PKG

W - $VRT $T $LAW $NEE $TMO $THC $GEV $GD $BSX $CMG $F $NOW $IBM $VKTX $LVS $NEM $CLS $WHR $WM

T - $AAL $ABBV $HAS $HON $RTX $NYCB $LUV $KDP $AZN $VLO $DXCM $SKX $TXRH $DECK $SAM $JNPR $TREE $DOC $APPF $NOV

F - $BMY $MMM $CHTR $BAH $SAIA $CNC $POR $CL $B $TROW

-

Econ-data/events

M -

T - Existing home sales, PMI serv', PMI manu'

W - New home sales, EIA Pet'

T - Q2 GDP (print'1), Weekly jobs, Durable goods orders, Intl' trade, retail/wholesale invent'

F - Pers' income/outlays, PCE, consumer sent'.

-


Final note

Despite what some might say, it was a mixed week. Sure, the Nasdaq had a difficult week, but even that index broke a new historic high. With just a trio of consecutive down days, a fair number are already losing their minds.

To be clear, this week's bearish engulfing candles do merit serious consideration. The market will be vulnerable, especially within Sept/Oct', but unless m/t support is taken out, the broader trend is to be seen as bullish. 

Its pretty lame how many are frequently lost within the minor noise, but that has always been the case. If want someone who will always put things into perspective, you know where to find me.

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Have a good weekend
--

*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EDT on Monday.

Friday 19 July 2024

Falling into the weekend

US equity indexes closed on a weak note, SPX -39pts (0.7%) at 5505. Nasdaq comp' -0.8%. Dow -0.9%. The Transports settled -0.02%. R2K -0.5%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened a little choppy. There was a vain attempt to bounce, but the market resumed lower into the afternoon, printing a new cycle low of 5497, and settling at 5505.

Volatility picked up some more, the VIX printing 17.19, and settling +3.7% to 16.52.
-

27c/80f ... pretty hot


We're at/close to solar maximum

 

A little closer


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 
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Thursday 18 July 2024

Thursday downside reversal

US equity indexes closed broadly lower, SPX -43pts (0.8%) at 5544. Nasdaq comp' -0.7%. Dow -1.3%. The Transports settled -1.8%. R2K -1.9%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened moderately higher, but the gains were distinctly shaky from the start. There was a significant downside reversal, with the SPX printing a new s/t low of 5522. The late afternoon saw a minor recovery to settle at 5544.

Volatility was mixed, the VIX swinging from an early low of 14.08, spiking to 16.43, and cooling back to settle +10.0% at 15.93.
-




24c/75f


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Goodnight from London
--

 
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Wednesday 17 July 2024

A mostly red Wednesday

US equity indexes mostly closed sig' lower, SPX -78pts (1.4%) at 5588. Nasdaq comp' -2.8%. Dow +0.6%. The Transports settled -1.4%. R2K -1.0%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened broadly lower... and I'd emphasise 'broadly', as the Dow was net higher, mostly due to INTC and UNH. 

Volatility picked up, the VIX printing 14.88, and settling +9.8% to 14.48.
-

A bit of cloud... a bit of sun

 

Full moon... is Sunday July 21st

 

Starship test'5 is due in 3-4 weeks.

Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--


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Tuesday 16 July 2024

Battling upward

US equity indexes closed on a broadly positive note, SPX +35pts (0.6%) at 5667. Nasdaq comp' +0.2%. Dow +1.8%. The Transports settled +3.3%. R2K +3.4%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

It was a day of considerable... if mostly positive leaning chop.
The SPX broke a new hist' high in the final minutes, as #everythingisfine

Volatility remained subdued, the VIX settling +0.5% to 13.19.
-

Life finds a way


Cloudy... if kinda warm

 

Full moon will be Sunday July 21st.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 
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Monday 15 July 2024

Trump's new historic high

 US equity indexes closed broadly higher, SPX +15pts (0.3%) at 5631. Nasdaq comp' +0.4%. Dow +0.5%. The Transports settled +1.7%. R2K +1.9%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened moderately higher, and whilst there was a little cooling, there was a secondary push upward to print a new hist' high of 5666. From there... late afternoon cooling to 5614, and settling at 5631.

Volatility picked up a little, the VIX settling +5.3% to 13.12.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 
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