Saturday 11 February 2023

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a bearish week for US equity indexes, with net weekly declines ranging from -3.4% (R2K), -3.1% (Trans), -2.4% (Nasdaq comp'), -1.1% (SPX), -0.5% (NYSE comp'), to -0.2% (Dow).

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes (monthly candle charts)

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans

Summary

All six US equity indexes settled net lower for the week.

The R2K lead the way lower, with the Dow most resilient.

Looking ahead

Whilst there are a fair number of earnings, the highlight of the week will be Tuesday's inflation data.

Earnings:

M - CX, OWL, PLTR, SEDG, AVIS, DENN

T - KO, CLF, BTU, MAR, DVN, ABNB, UPST, NU, LTHM, TRIP, SU, HLF

W - RBLX, TTD, GOLD, GNRC, KHC, BIIB, ADI, SUN, DNUT, SHOP, ROKU, ET, CSCO, MRO, ALB, TWLO, CF, EQT, SPWR

T -  STNG, DDOG, CROX, PARA, SO, HAS, SHAK, DKNG, AMAT, VALE, DASH, SBLK, RDFN

F - DE, AN, AMCX, ABR

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Econ-data/events

M -

T - CPI, consensus: Headline y/y: 6.2% vs 6.5% prior, Core y/y: 5.5% vs 5.7% prior

W - Retail sales, Empire state manu', indust' prod', busi' invent'

T - PPI, Weekly jobs, building permits, housing starts, Phil' Fed manu', 

F - import/export prices, leading indicators.

*as Friday is OPEX, I'd expect considerable chop on higher volume. Further, with Monday Feb'20th CLOSED, I'd expect the preceding Friday to be subdued, and lean to chop.

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Final note

A net bearish week, and whilst next Mon/Tuesday will be prone for upside, last week's high of sp'4195 looks pretty secure. Things turn interesting again with a break <4K, although that looks unlikely next week.

Whilst this week's CPI print will likely show further cooling, I do expect a secondary wave upward this year. How the market reacts to a slowing economy, with higher inflation, should be very entertaining. 

For more of the same.... you know where to find me.
 

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Have a good weekend
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*the next post on this page will likely appear 5pm EST on Monday.