Saturday, 11 December 2021

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a bullish week for US equity indexes, with net weekly gains ranging from +4.0% (Dow), +3.8% (SPX), +3.6% (Nasdaq comp'), +3.1% (NYSE comp'), +2.7% (Transports), to +2.4% (R2K).

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes (monthly candle charts)

sp'500


Nasdaq comp'


Dow

R2K


NYSE comp'

Trans

Summary

All six US equity indexes settled net higher for the week.

The Dow lead the way higher, whilst the R2K lagged.

More broadly, the SPX, Nasdaq comp, Dow, NYSE comp', and Transports are above their respective monthly 10MA, whilst the R2K is below.

Looking ahead

The schedule is pretty light, with the highlight of the week being the FOMC.

Earnings:

M - -

T - -

W - LEN, TCOM

T - ADBE, ACN, JBL, FDX

F - DRI, WGO

-

Econ-data/events

M - -

T - PPI

W - Retail sales, Empire state manu', Business invent', EIA Pet' report

*FOMC announcement 2pm, with a press conf' 2.30pm

T - Weekly jobs, housing starts, Phil' fed, indust' prod', PMI manu'/serv'

F - *OPEX*

-


Final note

On any basis, it was a very bullish week, with the market rising on reduced Omicron concerns, and coping with broadly rising inflation. 

This week's FOMC is the last major event of the year, and to be clear... I do not fear the QE taper, nor higher interest rates. It remains the case that the ultimate equity sell signal is a rate cut, and its bemusing that many still don't know their history. 

Yes, there are a great many problems out there, not least the systemic breaks in the US/global supply chain, but for now... the market/mainstream simply don't care. Eventually they will, but whether that is in 2022, or a few years beyond is difficult to foresee.

We have just 14 trading days left of 2021. For those that like charts, and want more of the same... you know where I am.


For details and the latest offers, see: https://www.tradingsunset.com

Have a good weekend

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*the next post on this page will likely appear 5pm EST on Monday.

Friday, 10 December 2021

Inflating into the weekend

US equity indexes mostly closed on a positive note, SPX +44pts (0.9%) at 4712. Nasdaq comp' +0.7%. Dow +0.6%. The Transports settled +0.5%. R2K -0.3%.

SPX - daily5

VIX - daily3

Summary

With CPI coming in broadly inline, US equities opened on a positive note. The gains were shaky though, with some indexes turning red. There was a secondary push upward into the late afternoon, as there is now a clear road into 2022.

With the last big econ-data of the year out of the way, the VIX was ground lower, settling -13.4% to 18.69. The weekly settlement under the key 20 threshold is significant.
-

A fine end to the day


Above the roof tops... the moon, Jupiter, a very faint Saturn, and Venus


The Jovian system, with the four Galilean moons


Full moon is Dec'18th


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EST) @ https://twitter.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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If you value my work on Blogger, Twitter, and would like more of the same, then subscribe to my intraday service! For details and the latest offers, see: https://www.tradingsunset.com

Thursday, 9 December 2021

Mixed Thursday

US equity indexes closed very mixed, SPX -33pts (0.7%) at 4667. Nasdaq comp' -1.7%. Dow u/c. The Transports settled +0.1%. R2K -2.3%.

SPX - daily5


VIX - daily3

Summary

US equities opened choppy, if leaning on the weaker side, especially in the late afternoon.

Volatility rebounded, the VIX settling +8.4% to 21.58. Once the market has dealt with the CPI data, volatility should broadly cool back under the key 20 threshold.

-

The winter solstice is Dec'21st, 10.59am EST.


Full moon is Dec'18th

Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EST) @ https://twitter.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 

If you value my work on Blogger, Twitter, and would like more of the same, then subscribe to my intraday service! For details and the latest offers, see: https://www.tradingsunset.com