Monday, 31 August 2026

August settles

US equity indexes closed on a weak note, SPX -25pts (0.3%) at 7886. Nasdaq comp' -0.1%. Dow -0.7%. The Transports settled -0.4%. R2K -0.6%

SPX – daily

VIX – daily

Summary

US equities opened a little weak, settling moderately lower. 

Volatility picked up, but the gain was largely technical, the VIX settling +3.4% to 14.92.   
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Peacock Butterfly

 

Two more hatched today

 

The sun sets on August 
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Saturday, 29 August 2026

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a mixed week for US equity indexes, with net weekly changes ranging from -1.4% (R2K), -0.9% (Trans), -0.6% (NYSE comp'), +0.5% (Dow, SPX), to +0.8% (Nasdaq comp').

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K


NYSE comp'


Trans

Summary

Three US equity indexes were net higher for the week, with three net lower.

The two leaders - Trans & R2K were broadly lower, whilst the Nasdaq was broadly higher.

Looking ahead

Earnings:

M - $SAIC $BLRX $CANG

T - $NIO $SSL $RZLV $MMED $MDT $YEXT $HMR $CRDO $DELL $PANW $MDB $GTLB $SPWH 

W - $FCEL $CXM $BF.B $GIII $DAKT $OLLI $AVGO $HPE $SNOW $NTAP $FIVE $AGX $CHPT $PVH $PHR $GOLD 

T - $CIEN $WLY $VSXY $LE $GCO $DOO $DLTH $BRC $CPB $TTC $PATH $AMBA $DOCU $ZS $LULU $IOT $ASAN $BBCP $PL $SWBI 

F - $KNOP

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Econ-data/events

M - -

T - PMI & ISM manu', construction, JOLTS

W - ADP jobs, factory orders, EIA Pet', Fed Beige book (2pm)

T - Weekly jobs, intl' trade, PMI & ISM serv'

F - Monthly jobs

*As Monday is end month, I'd expect more dynamic price action on higher vol'. 
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Have a good weekend
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*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EST on Monday.

Friday, 28 August 2026

Post Warsh cooling

US equity indexes closed a little weak, SPX -19pts (0.25%) at 7711. Nasdaq comp' -0.5%. Dow -0.02%. The Transports settled -0.3%. R2K -1.3%

SPX – daily

VIX – daily

Summary

US equities saw choppy upside... with Warsh appearing at 10am. The market initially pushed to 7771, but then cooled into the late afternoon to settle marginally lower at 7711

Volatility was ground lower for a fourth day, the VIX settling -0.5% to 14.43. 

From overnight Thursday...


 

5.12am BST... 96%... maxed out

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Thursday, 27 August 2026

Upside ahead of Warsh

US equity indexes mostly closed on a positive note, SPX +55pts (0.7%) at 7730. Nasdaq comp' +1.6%. Dow +0.2%. The Transports settled -0.7%. R2K +0.3%

SPX – daily

VIX – daily

Summary

Equities opened positive, with the SPX battling upward to 7741. The afternoon saw some cooling to settle moderately higher at 7730. Volatility was ground lower for a third day, the VIX settling -4.6% to 14.51.  

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As far as I can see


A brief glimpse of sun


... as the war continues




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Wednesday, 26 August 2026

More micro chop

US equity indexes mostly closed a touch lower, SPX -1pt (0.02%) at 7675. Nasdaq comp' -0.1%. Dow -0.2%. The Transports settled +0.6%. R2K -0.1% 

SPX – daily


VIX – daily


Summary

US equities saw yet another day of micro chop, with the SPX settling almost precisely flat. 

Volatility remained subdued, the VIX settling -1.5% to 15.21.  



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Tuesday, 25 August 2026

Tedious micro chop

US equity indexes closed a little higher, SPX +24pts (0.3%) at 7677. Nasdaq comp' +0.7%. Dow +0.3%. The Transports settled +0.1%. R2K +0.5%

SPX – daily

VIX – daily


Summary

Equities opened on a positive note, but all the bulls could manage was 7686, cooling to 7650, and settling at 7677.

Volatility was itself very subdued, the VIX settling -2.5% to 15.45.
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Spiky


21c/70f... another Goldilocks day


Bullish trees




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Monday, 24 August 2026

Leaning weak

US equity indexes mostly closed on a weak note, SPX -21pts (0.3%) at 7652. Nasdaq comp' -0.8%. Dow +0.3%. The Transports settled -0.6%. R2K -0.7% 

SPX – daily


VIX – daily

Summary

US equities opened on a weak note, and whilst there was numerous micro bounces... all the were sold into, settling marginally lower at 7652. 

Volatility picked up... if mostly due to the new week, the VIX settling +4.8% to 15.85 
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Skyward


Sometimes... my timing is very good

 

Full moon is Friday




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Saturday, 22 August 2026

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a bearish week for US equity indexes, with net weekly declines ranging from -2.0% (Nasdaq comp'), -1.7% (R2K), -1.4% (SPX), -1.0% (Trans), -0.8% (Dow), to -0.4% (NYSE comp').

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans

Summary

All six US equity indexes were net lower for the week

The Nasdaq comp' lead the way down, whilst the NYSE comp' was most resilient.

The NYSE comp' broke a new hist' high. 


Looking ahead

Earnings:

M - $XPEV $PDD $NSSC $GRRR $PICS $WDS $TUYA 

T - $DKS $BNS $SLQT $VIPS $BMO $BZ $EH $INTU $SMTC $ZM $BOX $NCNO $JOYY $HEI $ELMO $QFIN $STRT 

W - $KSS $ANF $DY $WSM $SJM $LI $PLAB $DCI $BBWI $HDL $NVDA $CRM $CRWD $OKTA $SNPS $A $VEEV $OOMA $P $NTNX 

T - $BBY $BILI $CM $DG $DLTR $DG $RY $TD $HQY $HRL $BURL $MRVL $IREN $ADSK $AFRM $ULTA $WDAY $S $RBRK $ESTC $GAP 

F - $CHA $MNSO

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Econ-data/events

M - 

T - Case-Shiller HPI, new home sales, consumer conf'

W - Q2 GDP (print'3), durable goods orders, Pers' income/spending, PCE

T - Weekly jobs, intl' trade, wholesale & retail invent', 

F - *Warsh at Jackson Hole*, Chicago PMI, consumer sent' 

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Have a good weekend
--

*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EST on Monday.

Friday, 21 August 2026

Positive OPEX

US equity indexes closed broadly higher, SPX +33pts (0.4%) at 7674. Nasdaq comp' +0.4%. Dow +1.0%. The Transports settled +0.9%. R2K +0.8%

SPX – daily

VIX – daily

Summary

US equities opened moderately higher, with the SPX printing a high of 7697. The afternoon saw some cooling to settle moderately higher at 7674. 

Volatility was ground lower into the weekend, the VIX settling -5.5% to 15.13.  

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Thursday, 20 August 2026

The black candles played out

US equity indexes closed broadly lower, SPX -66pts (0.9%) at 7641. Nasdaq comp' -1.0%. Dow -1.3%. The Transports settled -0.4%. R2K -1.4%

SPX – daily

VIX – daily


Summary

Equities leaned weak across the day, the SPX settling broadly lower to 7641.

Volatility picked up, the VIX settling +6.5% to 16.01.

As I hold onto a thin thread of hope


The bigger they get... the hungrier they get

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