Tuesday, 30 June 2026

June/Q2/H1 settle

US equity indexes mostly closed on a positive note, SPX +58pts (0.8%) at 7499. Nasdaq comp' +1.5%. Dow +0.3%. The Transports settled +0.5%. R2K -0.8%

SPX – daily

VIX – daily


Summary

US equities mostly ended the month on a positive note, the SPX settling +0.8% to 7499. 

Volatility was ground lower for a third consecutive day, the VIX settling -6.8% to 16.45. 
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A few minutes of sun


Just another building core


The finest way to travel


20c/68f... pleasingly cool




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Monday, 29 June 2026

Holiday week

US equity indexes mostly closed on a positive note, SPX +86pts (1.2%) at 7440. Nasdaq comp' +2.1%. Dow +0.6%. The Transports settled +0.4%. R2K -0.3%

SPX – daily


VIX – daily

Summary

US equities started positive, although there was a brief mini washout, if re-building gains to settle sig' higher at 7440. Volatility was ground lower, the VIX settling -4.1% to 17.65.
-

Another day


Bullish trees

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Saturday, 27 June 2026

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a mixed week for US equity indexes, with net weekly changes ranging from +1.4% (R2K), +0.9% (Trans), +0.8% (NYSE comp'), +0.6% (Dow), -1.9% (SPX), to -4.6% (Nasdaq comp').

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans

Summary

Four US equity indexes were net higher for the week, with two net lower.

The R2K was sig' higher, whilst the Nasdaq was powerfully lower.

The Dow and R2K broke new historic highs.

Looking ahead

It will a short four day trading week, with Friday CLOSED, ahead of Independence Day. 

Earnings:

M - $AVAV $CNXC

T - $NKE $STZ $PRGS 

W - $GIS $FDS $UNF $MSM $FC $BSET $GBX 

T - $LNN 

F - - 

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Econ-data/events

M - -

T - Case-Shiller HPI, Chicago PMI, Consumer con', JOLTS

W - ADP jobs, PMI/ISM manu', construction

T - Monthly jobs, Weekly jobs, factory orders 

F - *CLOSED*

*As Tuesday is end month/Q2/H1, I'd expect a lot of chop on high vol', with some index rebalancing.

**As Thursday is the lead into the July 4th holiday break, once the econ-data is out of the way, the market will be inclined to be very subdued on low vol' 
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Have a good weekend
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*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EST on Monday.
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Friday, 26 June 2026

Minor cooling into the weekend

US equity indexes closed on a weak note, SPX -3pts (0.1%) at 7354. Nasdaq comp' -0.2%. Dow -0.1%. The Transports settled -0.5%. R2K -0.2%

SPX – daily


VIX – daily


Summary

Equities opened on a weak note, but all the bears could manage was 7294, and settling -0.05% to 7354

Volatility was ground lower into the weekend, the VIX settling -2.5% to 18.41. 

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Thursday, 25 June 2026

Thursday chop

US equity indexes closed mixed, SPX -0.7pts (0.01%) at 7357. Nasdaq comp' -0.5%. Dow +0.1%. The Transports settled +1.5%. R2K +0.6% 

SPX – daily

VIX – daily


Summary

It was day of moderate chop, the SPX settling effectively flat at 7357. 

Volatility was a little higher, the VIX settling +1.4% to 18.89. 
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It was Deja Vu... all over again



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Wednesday, 24 June 2026

Midweek chop

US equity indexes closed mixed, SPX -7pts (0.1%) at 7358. Nasdaq comp' -0.4%. Dow +0.4%. The Transports settled -0.1%. R2K +0.3%

SPX – daily

VIX – daily

Summary

Equities opened positive, with the SPX printing a high of 7428. There was cooling to 7336, and settling fractionally lower at 7358.  Volatility was ground lower, the VIX settling -4.4% to 18.63. 


34c/93f... kinda hot

-

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Tuesday, 23 June 2026

Email your complaints to South Korea

US equity indexes closed broadly lower, SPX -107pts (1.4%) at 7365. Nasdaq comp' -2.2%. Dow -0.1%. The Transports settled -0.7%. R2K -0.8%

SPX – daily


VIX – daily


Summary

US equities opened significantly lower, with the market dragged down due to the South Korean KOSPI -10.0%. The SPX printed an early low of 7347, with a choppy bounce to settle sig' lower at 7365.

Volatility was mixed, the VIX printing an opening high of 20.52, but cooling back to settle +12.8% to 19.49 
-

Another day in an occupied failed state

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Monday, 22 June 2026

Mixed indexes

US equity indexes closed mixed, SPX -27pts (0.4%) at 7472. Nasdaq comp' -1.3%. Dow +0.3%. The Transports settled +0.7%. R2K +0.9% 

SPX – daily


VIX – daily


Summary

US equities opened choppy, if leaning upward, SPX printing 7530.There was a moderate swing lower to 7460, and settling at 7472. Indexes were rather mixed though.

Volatility was little higher (if mostly due to the new week), the VIX settling +5.4% to 17.28. 

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Friday, 19 June 2026

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a mixed week for US equity indexes, with net weekly changes ranging from +2.4% (Nasdaq comp'), +1.1% (R2K), +0.9% (SPX), +0.7% (Dow), -0.4% (NYSE comp'), -4.2% (Trans).


Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans

Summary

Four US equity indexes were net higher for the week, with two net lower.

The Nasdaq was significantly higher, with the Transports powerfully lower.

The Dow, NYSE comp', and R2K broke a new hist' high. 

Looking ahead

Earnings:

M - $FRVO $POWW 

T - $CCL $KFY $SUNB $FDX $KBH $WOR $CBRS 

W - $PAYX $NG $DAKT $LVO $PODC $MNY $MU $TCOM $FUL $WS $MEI $MLKN $JEF

T - $LOT $NNOX $BB $CMC $AYI $MKC $SNX $DRI $VTIX $WGO $WSE $AOUT $FDXF

F - $APOG

-

Econ-data/events

M -

T - PMI manu' & serv'

W - New home sales, Federal Reserve annual bank stress tests (4pm)

T - Weekly jobs, Q1 GDP (print'3), durable goods orders, Pers' income/spending, PCE, 

F - Leading indicators, wholesale & retail invent', consumer survey

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Final note

A mixed week, if clearly still m/t bullish from the key Trump-tariff floor of April 2025. Sure, we are cyclically on the high side, but that could easily remain the case, all the way into Labor day. 

OpenAI appears set to IPO, the only issue is whether Anthropic are willing and able. I'm unsure on the latter, which is more problematic. 

I'm guessing we see at least one rate hike this year, whether September or December. No doubt that would spook some, but historically... higher rates are a net positive to equities, especially the fins. Did you notice Bank of America just broke a new hist' high? 

As ever, just be sure to have enough popcorn for the big show.
 

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Enjoy the long weekend
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*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EST on Monday.
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Thursday, 18 June 2026

Into the long weekend

US equity indexes closed significantly higher, SPX +80pts (1.1%) at 7500. Nasdaq comp' +1.9%. Dow +0.1%. The Transports settled +0.5%. R2K +2.0%

SPX – daily


VIX – daily

Summary

US equities bounced into the long weekend, the SPX settling significantly higher at 7500. 

Volatility was naturally ground lower, the VIX settling -11.1% to 16.40.  

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Wednesday, 17 June 2026

Negative response to Warsh

US equity indexes closed significantly lower, SPX -91pts (1.2%) at 7420. Nasdaq comp' -1.3%. Dow -1.0%. The Transports settled -3.0%. R2K -0.8% 

SPX – daily


VIX – daily


Summary

US equities saw a broad holding pattern ahead of the Fed. Rates were naturally left changed, with Warsh appearing at 2pm. 

 

The new CEO of Print Central

The SPX spiraled to 7402, and settling sig' lower at 7420. 

Volatility spiked, the VIX settling +12.4% to 18.44.

The Crescent moon and Venus. It is a sign
 

 

Another day in the hellscape
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