Wednesday, 30 September 2026

September/Q3 settle

US equity indexes mostly closed on a weak note, SPX -19pts (0.25%) at 7651. Nasdaq comp' +0.2%. Dow -0.9%. The Transports settled -1.4%. R2K -0.3%

SPX – daily

VIX – daily

Summary

Opening choppy, but leaning upward to 7722. The late afternoon saw distinct cooling, settling marginally negative at 7651. 

Volatility picked up into end month/Q3, the VIX settling +1.9% to 16.34. 
-

The sun sets on September/Q3


Aerial monster


Same plane... different airline


Fall colours

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Tuesday, 29 September 2026

Subdued Tuesday

US equity indexes mostly closed on a weak note, SPX -12pts (0.5%) at 7671. Nasdaq comp' -0.1%. Dow -0.2%. The Transports settled +0.3%. R2K -0.4%

SPX – daily

VIX – daily

Summary

It was a day of considerable minor chop, mostly leaning a little weak.
Volatility was itself subdued, the VIX settling -0.2% to 16.04 
-

Not deep enough


Mostly grey 


The construction continues

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Monday, 28 September 2026

Bullish Starship

US equity indexes mostly closed on weak note, SPX -59pts (0.8%) at 7683. Nasdaq comp' -0.9%. Dow -0.7%. The Transports settled +0.1%. R2K -0.7% 

SPX – daily

VIX – daily

Summary

The day began with...



... it was a pretty good launch, not flawless, but its still early days for Starship. First orbital flight achieved, with a set of Starlink V3 satellites deployed.

Equities opened moderately lower with the SPX cooling to 7666, pressured by bond yields.
There was a bounce to settle broadly lower at 7683. 

Volatility picked up, the VIX printing 16.62, and settling +8.1% to 16.07  
-

The hellscape

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Saturday, 26 September 2026

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a mixed week for US equity indexes, with net weekly changes ranging from -2.5% (Trans), -0.7% (R2K), -0.4% (NYSE comp'), +0.3% (Dow), +1.2% (SPX), to +2.1% (Nasdaq comp').

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans

–

Summary

Three US equity indexes were net lower for the week, with three net higher.

The Transports was very significantly lower, whilst the Nasdaq was very significantly higher.

The Nasdaq broke a new historic high.

–

Looking ahead

Earnings:

M - $GNS $MTN $IVA $JEF $SANG $ATCH

T - $CCL $KMX $UEC $CNXC $AIR 

W - $CAG $JBL $FDS $MU $PRGS $BSET 

T - $ACN $AYI $MKC $NKE 

F -

-

Econ-data/events

M -

T - Case-Shiller HPI, consumer conf', JOLTS

W - ADP jobs, GDP Q3 (print'3), Intl' trade, Wholesale & retail invent', Pers' income/outlays, PCE, Chicago PMI

T - Weekly jobs, PMI & ISM manu', construction

F - Monthly jobs, factory orders 

*as Wednesday is end month/Q3, I would expect dynamic price action on high vol' 
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Have a good weekend
--

*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EST on Monday.

Friday, 25 September 2026

Positive chop into the weekend

US equity indexes closed moderately higher, SPX +39pts (0.5%) at 7743. Nasdaq comp' +0.5%. Dow +0.9%. The Transports settled +0.5%. R2K +0.2%

SPX – daily

VIX – daily


Summary

US equities saw considerable chop, if leaning upward, settling moderately higher at 7743. 

Volatility was ground lower into the weekend, the VIX settling -5.1% to 14.87. 
-

The construction continues


Another day

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Thursday, 24 September 2026

A mostly red Thursday

US equity indexes mostly closed on a weak note, SPX -1.9pts (0.02%) at 7704. Nasdaq comp' +0.01%. Dow -0.3%. The Transports settled -1.3%. R2K -0.1%

SPX – daily

VIX – daily

Summary

US equities opened moderately lower, with the SPX printing 7662. There was a bounce on a 'phased deal' headline, but still settling fractionally lower at 7704.

Volatility was mixed, the VIX printing 16.32, and cooling back to settle +3.2% to 15.67.

-

Sunset... ever further to the left


St Mary's, Harrow

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Wednesday, 23 September 2026

The Fall begins

US equity indexes closed broadly lower, SPX -58pts (0.75%) at 7706. Nasdaq comp' -1.1%. Dow -0.7%. The Transports settled -0.7%. R2K -1.8%

SPX – daily

VIX – daily

Summary

US equities opened on a weak note, with the market settling broadly lower at 7706.

Volatility picked up, the VIX settling +6.8% to 15.18. 

-

A fine start to the Fall


Full moon will be Sat' Sept'26th


... a little closer

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Tuesday, 22 September 2026

Summer settles

US equity indexes closed moderately mixed, SPX -0.1pts (0.00%) at 7764. Nasdaq comp' +0.4%. Dow -0.4%. The Transports settled -0.4%. R2K +0.5%

SPX – daily

VIX – daily

Summary

US equities saw initial upside, but all the bulls could manage was 7782. The rest of the day saw considerable chop... settling almost precisely flat at 7764.

Volatility was ground lower, the VIX settling -4.4% to 14.21.  
-

New delivery

A long winter is ahead


A cloudy end to summer 2026

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Monday, 21 September 2026

Day three UP

US equity indexes mostly closed on a positive note, SPX +114pts (1.5%) at 7764. Nasdaq comp' +2.3%. Dow +0.7%. The Transports settled -0.5%. R2K +0.6% 

SPX – daily


VIX – daily


Summary

US equities opened broadly higher, with the SPX powering upward to settle sig' higher at 7764.

Volatility was a little higher, the VIX settling +0.4% to 14.87  

-

Just one more sunset remains of summer 2026

 

The fall... awaits

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