Tuesday 8 September 2020

Starting negative

US equity indexes closed powerfully lower, sp -95pts (2.8%) at 3331. Nasdaq comp' -4.1%. Dow -2.2%. The Transports settled -1.3%.

sp'daily5



VIX'daily3



Summary

US equities began the short week on a significantly negative note, with the Nasdaq leading the way lower. The afternoon saw considerable chop, with another swing lower, to break a new cycle low of 3329.

Volatility saw an early spike to the 35s, but settling in the 31s, which is subtly supportive to the notion that the s/t cyclical setup leans to the equity bulls.

Your views...


Two thirds of you remain m/t bullish, and expect 3588 to be broken above before year end.


Only 17.9% expect any price action <3K ahead of the election.


Just over half expect stim' bill 4 to get passed before the election, and that does seem probable.


A third of you expect Print Central to be buying equities before year end. To yours truly, that does not appear likely, but eventually... yes.
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          Another sunset closer to autumn
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Goodnight from London
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