Saturday, 6 December 2025

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a bullish week for most US equity indexes, with net weekly changes, ranging from +3.6% (Trans), +0.9% (Nasdaq comp'), +0.8% (R2K), +0.5% (Dow), +0.3% (SPX), to -0.1% (NYSE comp').

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes (monthly candle charts)

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K


NYSE comp'


Trans

Summary

Five US equity indexes were net higher for the week.

The 'old leader' - Transports, was powerfully higher, whilst the NYSE comp' was fractionally lower.

The NYSE comp' broke a new hist' high.

More broadly, all six US equity indexes are trading above their respective monthly 10MA, and have positive monthly momentum.

Looking ahead

Earnings:

M - $TOL $MAMA $PHR $OOMA $CMP

T - $CPB $SAIL $ASO $AZO $ARQQ $CGNT $OLLI $KFY $CAL $FERG $GME $CBRL $AVAV $CASY $BRZE $LAKE $PLAY $GNSS $AOUT 

W - $CHWY $PLAB $UEC $JILL $REVG $MOMO $VBNK $DAKT $ORCL $ADBE $SNPS $PL $ASYS $ELVA $OXM $NDSN $XZO $SKIL

T - $CIEN $MANU $LOVE $VRA $AVGO $LULU $COST $RH $NTSK $NX $MITK $KMTS 

F - $JOUT

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Econ-data/events

M - -

T - NFIB optimism, JOLTS

W - US T-budget.

*FOMC, 2pm announcement. Press conf' 2.30pm. A rate cut of -25bps to 3.50-3.75% can be expected.

T - Weekly jobs

F - -

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Final note

It was a second consecutive bullish week for the collective of US equities. The fact the NYSE comp' broke a new historic high, was another reminder of the mid/long term trend. 

This week's Fed is clearly going to see a rate cut, with QT having been formally concluded. You can begin to wonder... if... or rather when will the printers be spun up? 

Once the Fed is out of the way, the bulls have a clear path into early January. The only concern is a wild card event, but then... that is always the case. 

 

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Have a good weekend
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*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EST on Monday
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There should be at least a few names in there of interest. 

Friday, 5 December 2025

Powerless bears

US equity indexes closed somewhat mixed, SPX +13pts (0.2%) at 6870. Nasdaq comp' +0.3%. Dow +0.2%. The Transports settled +0.7%. R2K -0.4%

SPX - daily


VIX - daily


Summary

It was another pretty subdued day in equity land, if mostly leaning to the upward side, as the bears remain powerless. The SPX printed a new s/t high of 6895, and settling at 6870. 

Volatility was naturally ground lower into the weekend, the VIX settling -2.3% to 15.41   

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Thursday, 4 December 2025

Another Thursday

US equity indexes mostly closed on a positive note, SPX +7pts (0.1%) at 6857. Nasdaq comp' +0.2%. Dow -0.1%. The Transports settled +0.2%. R2K +0.8%

SPX - daily


VIX - daily


Summary

US equities saw another day of considerable chop, although the SPX did print a marginal new s/t high of 6866, and settling at 6857.

Volatility was lower for the 8th day of 9, the VIX settling -1.9% to 15.78.   

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