Saturday, 22 November 2025

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a bearish week for US equity indexes, with net weekly declines ranging from -2.7% (Nasdaq comp'), -1.9% (SPX, Dow), -1.4% (NYSE comp'), -0.8% (R2K), to -0.4% (Trans).

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans


Summary

All six US equity indexes were net lower for the week.

The Nasdaq lead the way down, whilst the old leader - Transports, was resilient.

Five US equity indexes are trading under their respective weekly 10MA, and have negative weekly momentum. The exception in both cases is the Transports.  

Looking ahead

It will be a short 3.5 day week... for Thanksgiving. 

Earnings:

M - $BLRX $CAAP $WRD $SYM $ZM $SMTC $SNEX $PFLT $FLNC $KEYS $PNNT $A $ALCO

T - $BABA $NIO $ANF $ADI $KSS $BBY $PONY $BURL $AMTM $AVXL $DELL $CLSK $WDAY $NTNX $ZS $AMBA $PD $URBN $NTAP 

W - $DE $LI $CLGN $HDL $EH 

T - -

F - $CHA

-

Econ-data/events

M - - 

T - Retail sales, Case-Shiller HPI, Busi' invent, consumer conf', pending home sales

W - Weekly jobs, GDP Q3 (print'1), Intl' trade, retail & wholesale invent', Durable goods orders, Pers' income/spending, PCE, Chicago PMI

T - *CLOSED*

F - *EARLY CLOSE 1pm EDT*

-

Final note

Many are overly focused on the intraday action, which is always to be seen as semi-random chaos. As I like to say... 'don't get lost in the minor noise', as downside momentum has been building for a few weeks now. 

The collective of weekly charts I've highlighted are clear... the m/t ramp from April has ended. In the case of the SPX, target are 6200/6100s. Its not bold, and looks probable before year end. 

I'd also be mindful of the giant monthly charts, but hey... I won't duplicate here, what I've posted elsewhere.  

Ohh, and I'd not care whether the Fed cut rates or do nothing December 10th. It won't make any significant difference to the indebted sheep struggling to pay their basic living costs. 

I shall continue to call it... as I see it, not what I believe you want to hear. 
For that... my audience is perhaps 97% less.
At least I'll die not being a mainstream hack.  


Subscription offers, see: https://www.tradingsunset.com

Have a good weekend... if you deserve it.
--

*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EST on Monday.

Friday, 21 November 2025

OPEX as expected

US equity indexes closed sig' higher, SPX +64pts (1.0%) at 6602. Nasdaq comp' +0.9%. Dow +1.1%. The Transports settled +3.1%. R2K +2.8% 

SPX - daily

VIX - daily


Summary

US equities opened moderately higher, but the gains were shaky from the start, with the SPX reversing from 6576 to print a new s/t low of 6521. There was a secondary push upward to 6660, and settling at 6602.

Volatility was mixed, the VIX printing a morning high of 27.54, and settling -11.3% to 23.43.  
-

  4c/39f
 

How long does St. Mary's have until the monsters burn it down?

--

 
Subscription offers > https://www.tradingsunset.com

Thursday, 20 November 2025

An ugly downside reversal

US equity indexes mostly closed significantly lower, SPX -103pts (1.6%) at 6538. Nasdaq comp' -2.1%. Dow -0.8%. The Transports settled -1.4%. R2K -1.9%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened significantly higher, with the SPX printing 6770. However, there was a powerful downside reversal, falling to 6534, and settling at 6538.

Volatility saw an early low of 19.28, spiking to 28.27, and cooling back to settle +11.7% to 26.42.  

 -

Above the London rooftops


Meanwhile...

Semeru, Indonesia
 
--

 
Subscription offers > https://www.tradingsunset.com