Saturday, 3 September 2022

Weekend update - World equity markets

It was a very mixed month for world equity markets, with net monthly changes ranging from -4.8% (Germany), -4.1% (USA), -1.9% (South Africa), -1.6% (China), -1.0% (Hong Kong), +0.5% (Australia), +1.0% (Japan), +3.4% (India), +6.3% (Brazil), to +11.4% (Russia).

Lets take our regular look at ten of the world equity markets.

USA - Dow


Germany – DAX


Japan – Nikkei


Brazil – Bovespa


Russia - RTSI


India – SENSEX


China – Shanghai comp'


South Africa – Dow


Hong Kong – Hang Seng


Australia – AORD


Summary

Five world equity markets were net higher for August, with five net lower.

Germany lead the way lower, whilst the Russian market saw very powerful gains.

Japan, Brazil, Russia, and India settled above their respective monthly 10MA.

All ten world equity markets have negative monthly momentum.

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Looking ahead

It will be a short four trading week, with a light schedule.

Earnings:

M - *CLOSED*

T - PATH, COUP, HQY

W - NIO, ASO, GME, AEO, CASY

T - FCEL, BILI, LOVE, DOCU, ZS, RH, SWBI

F - KR

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Econ-data:

M - *CLOSED*

T - PMI/ISM serv'

W - Intl' trade, Fed Beige book (2pm)

T - *Powell, 9.10am*, ECB meeting, Weekly jobs, EIA Pet' & NG report, consumer credit (3pm)

F - Wholesale invent'

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Final note

Friday's reversal in the US equity market was another reminder that price action is increasingly unstable. In theory, the equity bears should broadly control things into early November.

There are innumerable 'wild cards' that would merit the excuse for a massive drop in global equities. China/Taiwan is the obvious one, but there are others.

Just look across to the economic, and societal basketcase that is Europe. A populace who chose to play along to the green agenda, with the added bonus of starting a proxy war with Russia.

It should be clear, the European economy - and I include the UK in that, are set to collapse this Fall. How could winter 2022/23 not be seen as anything other than hellish? 

A broken consumer, unable to afford to heat their homes.
Businesses... some already closing down, on unsustainable energy costs.
Civil unrest across multiple countries.

Do you think the US economy and associated capital markets, will somehow be insulated from what happens on the eastern side of the Atlantic?

If you love market drama, the next few months should be highly entertaining. If you can't stomach such volatility... this is not going to be the place for you, and I'd suggest you return after the midterms are out of the way. 

Its time to order some extra popcorn, as supplies are limited, and its always good to be first in line! For more of the same...


For details: https://www.tradingsunset.com

Enjoy the holiday break!
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*the next post on this page will likely appear 5pm EST on Tues' Sept'6th

Friday, 2 September 2022

Into the long weekend

US equity indexes closed significantly lower, SPX -42pts (1.1%) at 3924. Nasdaq comp' -1.3%. Dow -1.1%. The Transports settled -1.3%. R2K -0.8%.

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened on a positive note, and whilst the gains were shaky, there was a more decisive secondary push upward, the SPX printing 4018. Lunchtime saw the market upset by news Gazprom has cut supply due to a leak. The SPX spiraled to 3906... just 3pts above the Thursday low, with a minor short covering rally to settle at 3924.

Volatility was very mixed, the VIX printing 23.19, spiking to 26.28, if cooling back to settle -0.3% to 25.47. 


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EST) @ https://twitter.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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If you value my work on Blogger, Twitter, and would like more of the same, then subscribe to my intraday service! For details and the latest offers, see: https://www.tradingsunset.com

Thursday, 1 September 2022

Net bearish Thursday

US equity indexes closed rather mixed, SPX +11pts (0.3%) at 3966. Nasdaq comp' -0.3%. Dow +0.5%. The Transports settled +0.4%. R2K -1.1%.

SPX - daily

VIX - daily


Summary

US equities opened broadly lower, with the SPX printing a new cycle low of 3903. There was a latter day recovery, although price action remained very twitchy. The s/t cyclical setup favours the bulls into, and a few days beyond the long weekend.

Volatility was mixed, the VIX printing 27.45, if cooling back to settle -1.2% to 25.56.
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The summer colour is fading into autumn

The window closes end September


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EST) @ https://twitter.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 

If you value my work on Blogger, Twitter, and would like more of the same, then subscribe to my intraday service! For details and the latest offers, see: https://www.tradingsunset.com