Saturday, 1 March 2025

Weekend update - World equity markets

It was a mixed month for world equity markets, with net monthly changes ranging from -14.0% (Argentina), -6.1% (Japan), -5.5% (India), -4.4% (Australia), -2.4% (Brazil), -1.6% (USA), -0.1% (South Africa), +2.2% (China), +3.8% (Germany), to +8.4% (Russia).

Lets take our regular look at ten of the world equity markets.

USA - Dow


Germany – DAX


Japan – Nikkei


Brazil – Bovespa


Russia - RTSI


India – SENSEX


China – Shanghai comp'


South Africa – Dow


*stockcharts is lacking the data for Feb'28th.
The February settlement was 2277.62, a net monthly decline of -0.33pts (0.1%)

Argentina - MerVal


Australia – AORD


Summary

Seven world equity markets were net lower for February, with three net higher.

Argentina was severely lower, whilst the Russian market was very powerfully higher.

The German, South African, and Australian markets broke new historic highs.

The USA, German, Russian, South Africa, and Australian markets are trading above their respective monthly 10MA, and are to be seen as m/t bullish.

The USA, German, South African, and Australian markets have positive monthly momentum.

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Looking ahead

Earnings:

M - $NOVA $HUT $PLUG $TGTX $SPHR $AVDL $BLFS $BUR $RC $SGRY $SMR $OKTA $ASTS $GTLB $ADMA $GCT $SENS $MRC $TDUP $QSI

T - $TGT $BBY $SE $AZO $PFSE $EVGO $ESPR $GENI $ONON $NYAX $CRWD $CRDO $STEM $JWN $ORN $BOX $ROST $KIDS $CHPT $NPCE

W - $ANF $FL OPFI $THO $SSYS $RSKD $EDITR $BF.b $REVG $MRVL $RGTI $ZS $MDB $VEEV $VSCO $TREE $KGS $LB $FSM

T - $JD $CBRL $KR $BJ $DCTH $BTSG $NINE $BKSK $HIPO $M $AVGO $COST $GAP $HPE $BBAI $SERV $IOT $COO $CTSO $VEL

F - $GCO $AQN $WHF $YPF $INTT $ADV $ONCY

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Econ-data/events:

M - PMI & ISM manu', construction, vehicle sales

T - -

W - ADP jobs, factory orders, PMI & ISM serv', EIA Pet', Fed Beige book (2pm)

T - Weekly jobs, Productivity, intl' trade, wholesale invet'

F - Monthly jobs, consumer credit (3pm)

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Final note 

February was certainly mixed, if mostly leaning toward the bears. Even in the South African and Australian markets that were net lower, that was after breaking a new historic high. 

If you read around... as I'm sure you do, you'll be aware of the usual suspects who are crash calling. For now, there is no reason to believe that. Yes, valuations in some things are crazy, but that is often the case.

There is also the issue of 'Ohh, so you'd prefer a govt' bond instead?'. Seriously, do you want to sell Nvidia, Tesla, or Apple, and buy a 10yr bond instead? 

We can expect some sporadic geo-political and economic scares this year, but I also expect new index highs - at least for the US market. That doesn't mean I'm not regularly topping up my popcorn reserves though, as the big show continues.

 

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Have a good weekend
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*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EST on Monday.