Monday, 31 March 2025

March/Q1 settles

US equity indexes closed somewhat mixed, SPX +30pts (0.5%) at 5611. Nasdaq comp' -0.1%. Dow +1.0%. The Transports settled +1.0%. R2K -0.4% 

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened significantly lower, with the SPX breaking a new multi-month low of 5488. There was a very significant bounce to 5627, and settling at 5611. Volatility was mixed, the VIX printing an early high of 24.80, but cooling back to settle +2.2% to 22.28.
-

The sun sets on March/Q1


  The crescent moon
 

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Goodnight from London
--

 

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Saturday, 29 March 2025

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a bearish week for US equity indexes, with net weekly declines ranging from -2.6% (Nasdaq comp'), -1.6% (R2K), -1.5% (SPX), -1.0% (Dow), -0.9% (NYSE comp'), to -0.1% (Trans).

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans

Summary

All six US equity indexes were net lower for the week.

The Nasdaq lead the way down, whilst the Transports was very resilient.

Looking ahead

Earnings:

M - $GRRR $NNOX $WKHS $FTCI $BLRX $BCLI $LOAR $PRPH $WPRT $GML $PVH $LPRO $RCAT $MYST $REKR $CTRO $PRGS $TTGT $DUOT $BNGO

T - $EVAX $NCNO $SPWH

W - $BB $UNF $ANGO $CGNT $RH $PENG $BSET $CLIR $FC $RGP

T - $CAG $LW $MSM $AYI $LNN $RNXT $GES $SLP $LFCR

F - -

-

Econ-data/events

M - Chicago PMI

T - PMI & ISM manu', construction, JOLTS, vehicle sales

W - *Liberation Day*, ADP jobs, factory orders

T - Weekly jobs, Intl' trade, PMI & ISM serv'

F - Monthly jobs, *Powell (11.35am).

-

*UK/EU clocks change Sunday March 30th.

**As Monday is end month/quarter, I'd expect considerable chop on high vol'.


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Have a good weekend
--

*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EST on Monday.

Friday, 28 March 2025

Falling into the weekend

US equity indexes closed very significantly lower, SPX -112pts (2.0%) at 5580. Nasdaq comp' -2.7%. Dow -1.7%. The Transports settled -2.0%. R2K -2.0%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened moderately lower, and despite a few bounce attempts, the SPX fell to 5572, and settling at 5580. Volatility picked up, the VIX printing 22.18, and settling +15.8% at 21.65.
-

Just one more sunset remains for GMT


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Goodnight from London
--

 

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Thursday, 27 March 2025

A red Thursday

US equity indexes closed on a weak note, SPX -18pts (0.3%) at 5693. Nasdaq comp' -0.5%. Dow -0.4%. The Transports settled -0.05%. R2K -0.4%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened on a weak note, but all the bears could manage was 5670, before a rally to 5732. The afternoon saw another wave lower, settling at 5693.

Volatility was a little mixed, the VIX printing an opening high of 19.28, cooling to 17.95, and settling +2.0% at 18.69.


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Goodnight from London
--

 

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Wednesday, 26 March 2025

Midweek cooling

US equity indexes mostly closed significantly lower, SPX -64pts (1.1%) at 5712. Nasdaq comp' -2.0%. Dow -0.3%. The Transports settled +0.6%. R2K -1.0%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened broadly flat, but the SPX leaned weak into the mid afternoon, printing 5694, and settling at 5712. Volatility picked up a little, the VIX printing 18.95, and settling +6.9% to 18.33
-

6.11pm GMT... with BST to begin Sunday.


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Goodnight from London
--

 

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Tuesday, 25 March 2025

Tuesday chop

US equity indexes closed rather mixed, SPX +9pts (0.2%) at 5776. Nasdaq comp' +0.5%. Dow +0.01%. The Transports settled -0.8%. R2K -0.6%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened broadly flat... and remained that way across the day.
Volatility fell for the ninth day of eleven, the VIX settling -1.9% to 17.15.


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Goodnight from London
--

 

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Monday, 24 March 2025

A very green Monday

US equity indexes closed very significantly higher, SPX +100pts (1.8%) at 5767. Nasdaq comp' +2.3%. Dow +1.4%. The Transports settled +2.2%. R2K +2.6%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened significantly higher, with the SPX pushing above the 200dma, printing a high of 5775, and settling at 5767. Volatility was naturally ground lower, the VIX settling -9.3% to 17.48. 
-

Day five of Spring


  Bullish construction
 


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Goodnight from London
--

 

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Saturday, 22 March 2025

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a net bullish week for most US equity indexes, with net weekly changes ranging from +1.2% (Dow, NYSE comp'), +0.7% (R2K), +0.5% (SPX), +0.2% (Nasdaq comp'), to -0.2% (Trans).

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans

Summary

Five US equity indexes were net higher for the week, with one net lower.

The Dow and NYSE comp' were sig' higher, whilst the Transports was marginally red.

Looking ahead

Earnings:

M - $LUNR $LUCD $OKLO $KBH $DFLI $EPAC $INLX $ABVX $SKYX $ASNS $OCX

T - $CSIQ $ATAT $RUM $MKC $CRMD $PAVM $PONY $SFD $CNM GME $SURG $WOR $GCTS $KGEI $NOAH $BBNX $PAYS $CRVS $ACCS

W - $DLTR $CHWY $TH $JKS $PAYX $DOOO $CTAS $CAN $CLGN $ALUR $MVIS $CXNC $USIO $WOOF $VRNT $IVA $JEF $ITRG $FUL $MLKN

T - $BITF $WGO $SNX $SACH $IPHA $TEN $PDSB $ADCT $ABOS $ICCM $LULU $KULR $BRZE $FTLF $ABL $OXM $BRFH $PSTV $SKYH $SPRO

F - $IPA $KPLT $SLE $ZSPC $LIQT $SBC

-

Econ-data/events

M - PMI serv' & manu'

T - Case-Shiller HPI, consumer conf', new home sales

W - Durable goods orders, EIA Pet'

T - Weekly jobs, GDP Q4 (print'3), Intl' trade, wholesale & retail invent', pending home sales

F - Pers' income/spending, PCE, consumer sent'

-

 
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Have a good weekend
--

*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EST on Monday.

Friday, 21 March 2025

Four positive witches

US equity indexes closed a little mixed, SPX +4pts (0.1%) at 5667. Nasdaq comp' +0.5%. Dow +0.1%. The Transports settled -0.2%. R2K -0.6%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened on a broadly weak note.

President No'47 appeared in late morning...

... to announce the F47. Appropriate.


The SPX printed 5603, with a latter day recovery to 5670, and settling fractionally higher at 5667.

Volatility was a little mixed, the VIX printing 21.04, but cooling back to settle -2.6% to 19.28


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Goodnight from London
--

 

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Thursday, 20 March 2025

Market Spring

US equity indexes closed a little weak, SPX -12pts (0.2%) at 5662. Nasdaq comp' -0.3%. Dow -0.03%. The Transports settled -0.4%. R2K -0.6%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened on a weak note, but all the bears could manage was 5632, before quickly reversing upward to 5711. The afternoon saw some cooling, settling at 5662. Volatility saw an opening high of 21.00, before cooling back to settle -0.5% to 19.80.
-

17c/62f... a fine start to spring


Bullish flowers


... we're halfway to the summer solstice!



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Goodnight from London
--

 

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Wednesday, 19 March 2025

FOMC positivity

US equity indexes closed significantly higher, SPX +60pts (1.1%) at 5675. Nasdaq comp' +1.4%. Dow +0.9%. The Transports settled +0.5%. R2K +1.6%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened a little higher, with the SPX leaning upward ahead of the Powell...

The CEO of Print Central


The Fed not surprisingly did nothing, with equities seeing an extra burst upward to 5715, if cooling back to settle at 5675. Volatility was ground lower, the VIX settling -8.3% to 19.90.


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Goodnight from London
--

 

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