Wednesday, 18 December 2024

Post rate cut horror

US equity indexes closed powerfully lower, SPX -178pts (2.9%) at 5872. Nasdaq comp' -3.6%. Dow -2.6%. The Transports settled -2.8%. R2K -4.4%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equity indexes opened a little mixed, with a little push upward, the SPX printing 6070, just 29pts shy of the recent hist' high. There was a natural holding pattern... the Powell duly arriving at 2.30pm...

 

"The economy is strong overall"

Powell effectively touted #everythingsfine , and despite rate cut'3 of -25bps, the market took a dive. 

Call it a s/t washout, call it whatever you want, but as I've said for years... 'good luck with your rate cuts', which are the ultimate equity sell signal.

With equities diving, volatility spiked the VIX printing 28.32, and settling +74.0% at 27.62 


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EST) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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