Thursday, 31 July 2025

July settles

US equity indexes closed on a weak note, SPX -23pts (0.4%) at 6339. Nasdaq comp' -0.03%. Dow -0.7%. The Transports settled -0.4%. R2K -1.0%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

Equities opened on a positive note, the SPX flash-printing 6427, before cooling back to 6327, and settling moderately lower at 6339. Volatility was mixed, an early low of 15.09, but climbing to settle +8.0% to 16.72.
-

Next full moon is August 9th


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Wednesday, 30 July 2025

No change was no surprise

US equity indexes mostly closed on a weak note, SPX7pts (0.1%) at 6362. Nasdaq comp' +0.15%. Dow -0.4%. The Transports settled -3.0%. R2K -0.5%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened a little higher, with the SPX leaning upward to  

Print Central issued a press release at 2pm, announcing rates were (not surprisingly) left unchanged at 4.25-4.50%. 

Powell resisting Trump's demand for lower rates.
 

The SPX washed out to 6336, if recovering to settle at 6362.

Volatility was mixed, the VIX printing a high of 17.27, but cooling back to settle -3.1% to 15.48.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Tuesday, 29 July 2025

Pre-FOMC cooling

US equity indexes closed on a weak note, SPX -18pts (0.3%) at 6370. Nasdaq comp' -0.4%. Dow -0.5%. The Transports settled -2.3%. R2K -0.6%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened a little higher, with the SPX printing a new hist' high of 6409. There was some cooling to 6363, and settling a little lower at 6370.

Volatility picked up a little, the VIX settling +6.3% to 15.98.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Monday, 28 July 2025

Net bullish start

US equity indexes closed a little mixed, SPX +1pt (0.02%) at 6389. Nasdaq comp' +0.3%. Dow -0.1%. The Transports settled +0.05%. R2K -0.1%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

The week on the most bullish note possible, the SPX printing a new hist' high of 6401. There was moderate cooling, but all the bears could manage was 6375, and recovering to settle at 6389.

Volatility remained subdued, the VIX settling +0.7% to 15.03.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Saturday, 26 July 2025

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a bullish week for US equity indexes, with net weekly gains ranging from +3.2% (Trans), +2.0% (NYSE comp'), +1.5% (SPX), +1.3% (Dow), +1.0% (Nasdaq comp'), to +0.9% (R2K).

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans

Summary

All six US equity indexes were net higher for the week.

The Transports lead the way up, whilst the R2K was the laggard.

The SPX, Nasdaq comp', and NYSE comp' broke new hist' highs.

Looking ahead

A very busy week is ahead, with another truck load earnings, the first print of Q2 GDP (which might make for an official recession), and an FOMC... where rates won't be cut... frustrating a President.

Earnings:

M - $NGD $EPD $ARLP $ALRS $BOH $PROV $RITM $BMRC $BFST $FMX $CLS $WM $CDNS $RMBS $TLRY $NUE $EXEL $WHR $UHS $CR

T - $UNH $SOFI $PYPL $BA $UPS $SPOT $MRK $PG $LAD $CVLT $V $MARA $SBUX $STX $BKNG $CAKE $TER $FTAI $CZR $PEN

W - $VRT $MO $TEVA $KHC $GNRC $VIRT $HUM $ETSY $HSY $HOG $META $MSFT $HOOD $APLD $CVNA $LRCX $QCOM $KGC $F $ARM

T - $CVS $RBLX $ABBV $NCLH $CCJ $CRS $CI $MA $BMY $EME $AAPL $AMZN $MSTR $COIN $RDDT $RIOT $ENVX $NET $ROKU $CABO

F - $XOM $CVX $REGN $LYB $TROW $FLR $D $CL $CNH $XHR

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Econ-data/events

M -

T - Intl' trade, wholesale and retail invent', Case-Shiller, consumer conf', JOLTS

W - ADP jobs, Q2 GDP (print'1), pending home sales

*FOMC 2pm, press conf' 2.30pm

T - Weekly jobs, Pers' income/outlays, PCE, Chicago PMI

F - Monthly jobs, construction, consumer sent', vehicle sales

*As Thursday will be end month, expect dynamic price action on higher vol'.

-


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Have a good weekend
--

*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EST on Monday.

Friday, 25 July 2025

Positivity into the weekend

US equity indexes closed on a positive note, SPX +25pts (0.4%) at 6388. Nasdaq comp' +0.2%. Dow +0.5%. The Transports settled +1.1%. R2K +0.4% 

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened broadly flat, but once again, the SPX clawed upward to print a new hist' high of 6395, and settling moderately higher at 6388. Volatility was ground lower into the weekend, the VIX settling -3.0% to 14.93.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Thursday, 24 July 2025

Net bullish Thursday

US equity indexes closed rather mixed, SPX +4pts (0.1%) at 6363. Nasdaq comp' +0.2%. Dow -0.7%. The Transports settled -0.5%. R2K -1.3%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

Equities opened broadly flat, but the SPX still managed to print a new hist' high of 6381, and settling +0.1% to 6363.

Volatility was a little mixed, the VIX printing a new multi-month low of 14.95, and settling +0.1% to 15.39.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Wednesday, 23 July 2025

Clawing upwards

US equity indexes closed broadly higher, SPX +49pts (0.8%) at 6358. Nasdaq comp' +0.6%. Dow +1.1%. The Transports settled +1.0%. R2K +1.5%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened a little higher, with the SPX clawing upward across the day, printing 6360, and settling broadly higher at 6358.

Volatility was ground lower for the fifth day of six, the VIX printing a new multi-month low of 15.32, settling -6.8% to 15.37. 


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 
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Tuesday, 22 July 2025

Tuesday tedium

US equity indexes mostly closed on a positive note, SPX +4pts (0.1%) at 6309. Nasdaq comp' -0.4%. Dow +0.4%. The Transports settled +1.7%. R2K +0.9%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities saw a day of pretty tedious chop, the SPX settling fractionally higher at 6309.

Volatility was itself subdued, the VIX settling -0.9% to 16.50.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 
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Monday, 21 July 2025

Net green Monday

US equity indexes closed a little mixed, SPX +8pts (0.1%) at 6305. Nasdaq comp' +0.4%. Dow -0.04%. The Transports settled -0.1%. R2K -0.4%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened a little higher, with the SPX quickly printing a new hist' high of 6336. The afternoon saw some cooling to settle fractionally higher at 6305. Volatility remained subdued, the VIX settling +1.5% to 16.65.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 
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Saturday, 19 July 2025

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a mixed week for US equity indexes, with net weekly changes ranging from +1.5% (Nasdaq comp'), +0.6% (SPX), +0.3% (R2K), -0.03% (NYSE comp'), -0.1% (Dow), to -2.1% (Trans).

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans

Summary

Three US equity indexes were net higher for the week, with three net lower.

The Nasdaq was sig' higher, whilst the Transports was sig' lower.

The SPX and Nasdaq broke new historic highs.

Looking ahead

Earnings:

M -$VZ $DPZ $CLF $ROP $DX $RYAAY $HBT $PFBC $NXPI $STLD $AGNC $CALX $CCK $AGYS $BOKF $MEDP $WRB $SMBK

T - $LMT $RTX $NOC $KO $PM $DHI $DHR $KEY $DGX $ISRG $SAP $ENPH $MTDR $COF $TXN $RRC $KARO $CSGP $EQT

W - $GEV $FCX $APH $T $TMO $FI $GD $COOP $HAS $NEE $TSLA $GOOGL $NOW $IBM $CMG $QS $ALK $ORLY $MOH $URI

T - $AAL $BX $NOK $DOW $LUV $FLEX $UNP $NDAQ $KDP $HON $INTC $NEM $DECK $DOC $SCHL $ORC $LBRT $EW $BYD $COUR

F - $CNC $HCA $AN $CHTR $BAH $TNET $EAF $GNTX $SBSI $SAIA

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Econ-data/events

M - Leading indicators

T - Powell, 8.30am, banking conf'

W - Existing home sales

T - Weekly jobs, PMI serv' & manu', new home sales

F - Durable goods orders

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If you value my work on Blogger, X, and want more of the same, subscribe to my intraday service! For details and the latest offers, see: https://www.tradingsunset.com

Have a good weekend
--

*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EST on Monday.

Friday, 18 July 2025

Net bullish OPEX

US equity indexes mostly closed on a weak note, SPX -0.6pts (0.01%) at 6296. Nasdaq comp' +0.05%. Dow -0.3%. The Transports settled -0.7%. R2K -0.7%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened a little higher, and it was easily enough to generate a new hist' high of 6315. There was some cooling into the afternoon to 6285, and settling at 6296. 

Volatility settled -0.6% to 16.41.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--


 

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Thursday, 17 July 2025

Stranger Things Thursday

US equity indexes closed broadly higher, SPX +33pts (0.5%) at 6297. Nasdaq comp' +0.7%. Dow +0.5%. The Transports settled +1.0%. R2K +1.3%

SPX - daily


 

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened broadly flat. The SPX clawed upward across the day to print a new hist' high of 6304, and settling moderately higher at 6297

Volatility was ground lower, the VIX settling -3.7% to 16.52.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--


 

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Wednesday, 16 July 2025

Powell remains

US equity indexes mostly closed on a positive note, SPX +19pts (0.3%) at 6263. Nasdaq comp' +0.2%. Dow +0.5%. The Transports settled -0.1%. R2K +1.0%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened broadly flat. Late morning saw a rumour that Trump might attempt to fire Powell, with the SPX printing 6201. There was a bounce... as Trump refuted (some) of the rumour, settling at 6263.

Volatility was mixed, the VIX printing a high of 19.48, but settling -1.3% to 17.16.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--


 

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