Trump-Putin into the weekend

US equity indexes mostly closed on a weak note, SPX -18pts (0.3%) at 6449. Nasdaq comp' -0.4%. Dow +0.1%. The Transports settled -0.4%. R2K -0.5%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened a little higher, with the SPX printing a new hist' high of 6481. There was a little cooling, to settle 6449. Volatility remained subdued into the weekend, the VIX settling +1.7% to 15.09.  

       President Putin meets President Trump

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A somewhat weak Thursday

US equity indexes closed mixed, SPX +2pts (0.03%) at 6468. Nasdaq comp' -0.01%. Dow -0.02%. The Transports settled -0.8%. R2K -1.2%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened moderately lower, but all the bears could manage was 6441, a mini spike to 6473, and settling effectively flat at 6468. Volatility remained suppressed, the VIX settling +2.3% at 14.83.

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Midweek upside

US equity indexes closed on a positive note, SPX +20pts (0.3%) at 6466. Nasdaq comp' +0.1%. Dow +1.0%. The Transports settled +1.4%. R2K +2.0%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

Equities opened on a positive note, with the SPX printing a new hist' high of 6480, and settling at 6466.

Volatility was ground lower, the VIX settling -1.6% to 14.49.

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CPI remains warm

US equity indexes closed significantly higher, SPX +72pts (1.1%) at 6445. Nasdaq comp' +1.4%. Dow +1.1%. The Transports settled +3.0%. R2K +3.0%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

Headline y/y: 2.7% vs 2.7% prior
Core y/y: 3.1% vs 2.9% prior

... as CPI remains warm, but US equities opened broadly higher, and whilst there was an opening downside reversal, there was a secondary push upward, with the SPX printing a new hist' high of 6446, and settling at 6445.

Volatility was ground lower, the VIX settling -9.3% to 14.73.

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A case of the Mondays

US equity indexes closed on a weak note, SPX -16pts (0.25%) at 6373. Nasdaq comp' -0.3%. Dow -0.4%. The Transports settled -1.0%. R2K -0.1%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened broadly flat. The SPX still managed a new cycle high of 6407, if cooling into the late afternoon, settling at 6373. Volatility picked up a little, the VIX settling +7.3% to 16.25.
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Office Space (1999)

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Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a bullish week for US equity indexes, with net weekly gains ranging from +3.9% (Nasdaq comp'), +2.5% (R2K), +2.4% (SPX), +1.6% (Trans), to +1.3% (Dow, NYSE comp').

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes (monthly candle charts)

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans

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Summary

All six US equity indexes were net higher for the week.

The Nasdaq lead the way up, whilst the Dow & NYSE lagged.

The Nasdaq broke a new historic high. 

Five indexes are trading above their respective monthly 10MA, the exception being the Transports

The SPX, Nasdaq, and NYSE have positive monthly momentum, whilst the Dow, R2K, and Trans are negative.

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Looking ahead

Mr Market will be focused on the latest inflation data, as some are vainly hoping for a Sept'17th rate cut. If CPI ticks upward... even just by one tenth, that would arguably be enough for market upset.

Earnings:

M - $MNDY $B $VFF $FNV $LINC $WW $EE $LEGN $FSTR $DEC $AMC $BBAI $OKLO  $ASTS $ACHR $MVST $PNNT $PLUG $GPRO $PFLT

T - $CRCL $SE $PONY $KOPN $LQDA $ONON $AUTL $CAH $PSFE $IHS $CRWV $RGTI $CAVA $GRAL $ZVRA $REKR $HRB $NVGS $DDI $ATEX

W - $ARCO $EAT $INVZ $ESLT $SPRY $MRX $EXK $SSYS $AMS $CATX $CSCO $EQX $ASM $DLO $RRGB $SURG $EVLA $ALVO $SARO $AEMO

T - $AG $JD $DE $AMCR $CAN $NICE $AAP $BIRK $WB $XXII $AMAT $NU $KULR $TMC $SNDK $GAMB $GLOB $PPSI $DARE $STRT

F - $FLO $FUFU $VNRX

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Econ-data/events

M -

T - CPI, NFIB optimism, US T-budget (2pm)

W - EIA Pet'

T - PPI, weekly jobs

F - Retail sales, Empire state manu', import prices, indust' prod', business invent', consumer sent' *OPEX*

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No market for old bears

US equity indexes mostly closed on a positive note, SPX +49pts (0.8%) at 6389. Nasdaq comp' +1.0%. Dow +0.5%. The Transports settled -0.4%. R2K +0.2%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened on a positive note, with the SPX battling upward into the afternoon, printing 6395. The late afternoon saw a touch of cooling, to settle at 6389. If anything, this is no market for old bears.

Volatility was ground lower into the weekend, the VIX settling -8.6% to 15.15.   

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Almost full

... in memory of Jim Lovell, the only human to ever fly to the moon twice (Apollo 8 & 13)... but never actually landing on it.

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Thursday reversal

US equity indexes mostly closed on a weak note, SPX -5pts (0.1%) at 6340. Nasdaq comp'+0.3%. Dow -0.5%. The Transports settled -1.0%. R2K -0.4%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

Equities opened on a moderately positive note, the SPX printing 6389. There was increasing cooling though to 6310, and settling fractionally lower at 6340. 

Volatility was mixed, the VIX printing an opening low of 16.06, increasing to 17.64, and settling -1.2% to 16.57. 

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Structure is a bearish pennant

US equity indexes mostly closed on a positive note, SPX +45pts (0.7%) at 6345. Nasdaq comp' +1.2%. Dow +0.2%. The Transports settled +0.8%. R2K -0.1%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened a little choppy, if leaning upward into the late afternoon to 6352, and settling moderately higher at 6345. Structure - as seen on a daily chart, is a pretty clean bearish pennant, suggestive of a break lower, with around 200pts of downside to around the 50dma in the 6160/50s.

Volatility was itself subdued, the VIX settling -6.0% to 16.77. 

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Turnaround Tuesday

US equity indexes closed mixed, SPX -30pts (0.5%) at  6299. Nasdaq comp' -0.6%. Dow -0.1%. The Transports settled +1.1%. R2K +0.5%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened a little higher, but there was a broad swing from 6346 to 6289. The afternoon saw a bounce... if stalling at 6322, and settling at 6299.

Volatility was mixed, the VIX printing a morning high of 18.94, but cooling back to settle +1.9% to 17.85. 

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Goodnight from London
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Bouncy start

US equity indexes closed significantly higher, SPX +91pts (1.4%) at 6329. Nasdaq comp' +1.9%. Dow +1.3%. The Transports settled +1.1%. R2K +2.1%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

Equities began the week with a bounce, the SPX printing 6330, and settling at 6329.

Volatility was naturally lower, the VIX settling -14.0% to 17.52.

–
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Goodnight from London
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Weekend update - World equity markets

It was a mixed month for world equity markets, with net monthly changes ranging from +16.2% (Argentina), +3.7% (China), +2.8% (South Africa), +2.6% (Australia), +1.4% (Japan), +0.6% (Germany), +0.1% (USA), -2.9% (India), -4.0% (Russia), to -4.4% (Brazil).

Lets take our regular look at ten of the world equity markets.

USA - Dow

Germany – DAX

Japan – Nikkei

Brazil – Bovespa

Russia - MOEX

India – SENSEX

China – Shanghai comp'

South Africa – Dow

Argentina - MerVal

Australia – AORD

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Summary

Seven world equity markets were net higher for July, with three net lower.

Argentina was very powerfully higher, whilst Russia and Brazil were powerfully lower.

The German, Brazilian, South African, and Australian markets broke new historic highs.

Nine world markets are trading above their respective monthly 10MA, the exception being Russian.

The German, Brazilian, Chinese, South African, and Australian markets have positive monthly momentum.

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Looking ahead

Earnings:

M - $BRK.B $W $BNTX $ON $AXSM $IEP $TSN $TGTX $BCRX $FRPT $PLTR $HIMS $MELI $NVTS $VRTX $BRBR $BWXT $LSCC $TDUP

T - $PFE $CAT $BP $DUK $LMND $DD $ESPR $ETN $EVTL $MAR $AMD $SMCI $ANET $ALAB $OPEN $SNAP $LCID $UPST $RIVN $CLOV

W - $UBER $SHOP $OSCR $NVO $DIS $FUN $GERN $DAVE $GEO $MCD $APP $IONQ $SYM $DUOL $FTNT $ET $ELF $DKNG $JACK $JOBY

T - $QBTS $CELH $LLY $COP $HUT $VST $ESTA $SONY $TRGP $UUUU $TTD $RKLB $SOUN $SMR $KTOS $XYZ $PINS $TEAM $TTWO $TWLO

F - $FUBO $TEM $WULF $FET $WEN $CGC $PAA $PAR $PMTS $SLVM

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Econ-data/events:

M - Factory orders

T - Intl' trade, PMI and ISM serv'

W - EIA Pet' report

T - Weekly jobs, US prod', wholesale invent', consumer credit (3pm)

F - -

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*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EDT on Monday.