Saturday, 5 July 2025

Weekend update - World equity markets

It was a bullish month for most world equity markets, with net monthly changes ranging from +6.6% (Japan), +4.3% (USA), +2.9% (China), +2.6% (India), 2.3% (South Africa), +1.3% (Brazil, Australia),  +0.6% (Russia), -0.4% (Germany), to -12.3% (Argentina).

Lets take our regular look at ten of the world equity markets.

USA - Dow


Germany – DAX


Japan – Nikkei


Brazil – Bovespa


Russia - MOEX


India – SENSEX


China – Shanghai comp'


South Africa – Dow


Argentina - MerVal


Australia – AORD


Summary

Eight world equity markets were net higher for June, with two net lower.

Japan and the USA lead the way up, Germany was moderately lower, and Brazil got the smack down.

The German and South African markets broke new historic highs.

Eight markets are trading above their respective monthly 10MA, the two exceptions being Russia and Argentina.

Germany, Brazil, China, South Africa, and Australia have positive monthly momentum.

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Looking ahead

It will be a quiet week... ahead of Q2 earnings.

Earnings:

M -

T - $PENG $KRUS $SAR $AEHR

W - $AZZ $BSET

T - $DAL $CAG $BYRN $SMPL $HELE $NTIC $LEVI $WDFC $PSMT $ETWO $VIST

F -

-

Econ-data/events:

M -

T - NFIB optim', consumer credit (3pm)

W - Wholesale invent', EIA report, FOMC mins (2pm)

T - Weekly jobs

F - US T-budget (2pm)

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Enjoy the holiday weekend
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*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EDT on Monday.

Thursday, 3 July 2025

Into the long weekend

US equity indexes closed broadly higher, SPX +51pts (0.8%) at 6279. Nasdaq comp' +1.0%. Dow +0.8%. The Transports settled +0.2%. R2K +0.9%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily


Summary

US equities opened a little higher, with the SPX pushing upward to print a new hist' high of 6284, and settling at 6279. Volatility was ground lower into the July 4th weekend, the VIX settling -1.4% to 16.40.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 

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Wednesday, 2 July 2025

Another day

US equity indexes mostly closed on a positive note, SPX +29pts (0.5%) at 6227. Nasdaq comp' +0.9%. Dow -0.02%. The Transports settled +1.2%. R2K +1.4%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities saw considerable chop... if leaning upward, the SPX printing a new hist' high, settling at 6227. Volatility was naturally subdued, the VIX settling -1.1% to 16.64. 
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       A fine day


20c/68f ... Goldilocks

Full moon... July 10th
 

Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 

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Tuesday, 1 July 2025

The second half

US equity indexes closed very mixed, SPX -6pts (0.1%) at 6198. Nasdaq comp' -0.8%. Dow +0.9%. The Transports settled +2.8%. R2K +1.0%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities saw a day of considerable minor chop... although there was some disparity between indexes/sectors. Volatility remained subdued, the VIX settling +0.6% to 16.83.
-

Full moon... July 10th


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 

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Monday, 30 June 2025

June/Q2/H1 settles

US equity indexes mostly closed on a positive note, SPX +31pts (0.5%) at 6204. Nasdaq comp' +0.5%. Dow +0.6%. The Transports settled -0.6%. R2K +0.2%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened a little higher, and it was more than enough for the SPX to print a new hist' high of 6215, and settling at 6204. Volatility was a little higher, the VIX settling +2.5% to 16.73.
-

32c/90f... the shade was preferable


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 

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Saturday, 28 June 2025

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a bullish week for US equity indexes, with net weekly gains ranging from +4.9% (Trans), +4.2% (Nasdaq comp'), +3.8% (Dow), +3.4% (SPX), +3.0% (R2K), to +2.4% (NYSE comp').

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes

sp'500


Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans

Summary

All six US equity indexes were net higher for the week.

The old leader - Transports, lead the way up, whilst the NYSE comp' lagged.

The SPX, Nasdaq, and NYSE comp' broke new historic highs.

Looking ahead

It will be a short 3.5 day trading week, with the market CLOSED for Independence Day. 

Earnings:

M - $PRGS $QMCO

T - $MSM $STZ $GBX

W - $UNF $FC $ZENV

T -

F -

-

Econ-data/events

M - Chicago PMI

T - PMI & ISM manu', construction, JOLTS, vehicle sales

W - ADP jobs, EIA Pet' report

T - Monthly jobs, weekly jobs, intl' trade, PMI & ISM serv, factory orders
*EARLY CLOSING 1pm EDT*

F - *CLOSED*

*As Monday is end month/Q2/H1, I'd expect dynamic price action on higher vol'.

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Have a good weekend
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*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EST on Monday.

Friday, 27 June 2025

New historic high

US equity indexes closed on a positive note, SPX +32pts (0.5%) at 6173. Nasdaq comp' +0.5%. Dow +1.0%. The Transports settled +1.1%. R2K +0.1% 

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened a little higher, which was more than enough for the SPX to print a new historic high of 6187. There was some cooling into the mid afternoon to 6132, if bouncing to settle moderately higher at 6173. 

Volatility was ground lower for a fifth day, the VIX settling -1.6% to 16.32.
-

21c/70f, another Goldilocks day

 

Next full moon... July 10th
 –

Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 
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Thursday, 26 June 2025

A green Thursday

US equity indexes closed broadly higher, SPX +48pts (0.8%) at 6141. Nasdaq comp' +1.0%. Dow +0.9%. The Transports settled +0.8%. R2K +1.6%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened moderately higher, with the SPX clawing upward to printing a new multi-month high of 6146 - just 1pt shy of the Feb' historic high, and settling at 6141.

Volatility was ground lower for a fourth day, the VIX settling -1.0% to 16.59
-

Bullish kites

Another Goldilocks day

Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 

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Wednesday, 25 June 2025

Subdued midweek

US equity indexes mostly closed on a weak note, SPX -0.02pts (0.00%) at 6092. Nasdaq comp' +0.3%. Dow -0.25%. The Transports settled -1.1%. R2K -1.2%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily


Summary

US equities opened a little choppy. The SPX printed a new cycle high of 6108, leaning lower to 6080, and recovering to settle effectively flat at 6092. 

Volatility was further ground lower, the VIX settling -4.1% to 16.76.
-

A fine summers day


Provisional blackberries


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
--

 

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