Monday, 28 July 2025

Net bullish start

US equity indexes closed a little mixed, SPX +1pt (0.02%) at 6389. Nasdaq comp' +0.3%. Dow -0.1%. The Transports settled +0.05%. R2K -0.1%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

The week on the most bullish note possible, the SPX printing a new hist' high of 6401. There was moderate cooling, but all the bears could manage was 6375, and recovering to settle at 6389.

Volatility remained subdued, the VIX settling +0.7% to 15.03.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Saturday, 26 July 2025

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a bullish week for US equity indexes, with net weekly gains ranging from +3.2% (Trans), +2.0% (NYSE comp'), +1.5% (SPX), +1.3% (Dow), +1.0% (Nasdaq comp'), to +0.9% (R2K).

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans

Summary

All six US equity indexes were net higher for the week.

The Transports lead the way up, whilst the R2K was the laggard.

The SPX, Nasdaq comp', and NYSE comp' broke new hist' highs.

Looking ahead

A very busy week is ahead, with another truck load earnings, the first print of Q2 GDP (which might make for an official recession), and an FOMC... where rates won't be cut... frustrating a President.

Earnings:

M - $NGD $EPD $ARLP $ALRS $BOH $PROV $RITM $BMRC $BFST $FMX $CLS $WM $CDNS $RMBS $TLRY $NUE $EXEL $WHR $UHS $CR

T - $UNH $SOFI $PYPL $BA $UPS $SPOT $MRK $PG $LAD $CVLT $V $MARA $SBUX $STX $BKNG $CAKE $TER $FTAI $CZR $PEN

W - $VRT $MO $TEVA $KHC $GNRC $VIRT $HUM $ETSY $HSY $HOG $META $MSFT $HOOD $APLD $CVNA $LRCX $QCOM $KGC $F $ARM

T - $CVS $RBLX $ABBV $NCLH $CCJ $CRS $CI $MA $BMY $EME $AAPL $AMZN $MSTR $COIN $RDDT $RIOT $ENVX $NET $ROKU $CABO

F - $XOM $CVX $REGN $LYB $TROW $FLR $D $CL $CNH $XHR

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Econ-data/events

M -

T - Intl' trade, wholesale and retail invent', Case-Shiller, consumer conf', JOLTS

W - ADP jobs, Q2 GDP (print'1), pending home sales

*FOMC 2pm, press conf' 2.30pm

T - Weekly jobs, Pers' income/outlays, PCE, Chicago PMI

F - Monthly jobs, construction, consumer sent', vehicle sales

*As Thursday will be end month, expect dynamic price action on higher vol'.

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Have a good weekend
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*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EST on Monday.

Friday, 25 July 2025

Positivity into the weekend

US equity indexes closed on a positive note, SPX +25pts (0.4%) at 6388. Nasdaq comp' +0.2%. Dow +0.5%. The Transports settled +1.1%. R2K +0.4% 

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened broadly flat, but once again, the SPX clawed upward to print a new hist' high of 6395, and settling moderately higher at 6388. Volatility was ground lower into the weekend, the VIX settling -3.0% to 14.93.


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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