Saturday, 14 March 2026

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a bearish week for US equity indexes, with net weekly declines ranging from -3.9% (Trans), -2.1% (NYSE comp'), -2.0% (Dow), -1.7% (R2K), -1.6% (SPX), to -1.3% (Nasdaq comp').

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes

sp'500


Nasdaq comp'


Dow


NYSE comp'


R2K

Trans

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Summary

All six US equity indexes were net lower for the week.

The Transports lead the way down, whilst the Nasdaq was most resilient. 

All six indexes are trading under their respective weekly 10MA, and have negative weekly momentum. 

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Looking ahead

Earnings:

M - $DLTR $VNET $SAIC $CTMX $BEKE $AGEN $FPS $TSQ $TLS $WW $SMTC $AGRO $CATX $PLBY $PRSO $SMC $TBRG $HFFG $GETY $ASRT

T - $ATAT $TME $TSAT $HUYA $GDS $ESLT $ASO $PSQH $OPTI $STIM $OKLO $LULU $DOCU $HQY $ZTO $TRVI $TTAM $IZEA $FLD $ANDG 

W - $GIS $WSM $M $JBL $SAIL $TCEHY $UCL $WB $SPIR $HTHT $MU $RCAT $FIVE $ALVO $DLO $LIEN $USIO $PICS $SERA $HTFL 

T - $BABA $ACN $LUNR $ARCO $CAL $CSIQ $AVAH $DRI $TITN $SIG $PL $FDX $FLY $GRWG $IDN $SCHL $YSS $ECOR $GEMI $ETON 

F - $XPEV $ZGN $WWR $FUFU $MIST 

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Econ-data/events

M - Empire state manu', indust' prod'

T -  Pending home sales, home builder confi'

W - PPI, factory orders

*2pm FOMC announcement, with a press conf' at 2.30pm 

T - Weekly jobs, Phil' Fed manu', wholesale invent', new home sales

F - Employment costs   *QUAD-OPEX*

*Friday will be quadruple option expiration, expect considerable chop on very high vol'  

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Have a good weekend
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*the next post on this page will likely appear 6pm EDT on Monday.

Thursday, 12 March 2026

Typically red Thursday

US equity indexes closed significantly lower, SPX -103pts (1.5%) at 6672. Nasdaq comp' -1.8%. Dow -1.6%. The Transports settled -3.0%. R2K -2.2%

SPX - daily


VIX - daily


Summary

Equities opened broadly lower, and whilst there were a few bounce attempts, the day settled near the lows. Volatility picked up, the VIX settling +12.6% to 27.29. 




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Wednesday, 11 March 2026

No downside power

US equity indexes mostly closed on a weak note, SPX -5pts (0.1%) at 6775. Nasdaq comp' +0.1%. Dow -0.6%. The Transports settled -0.7%. R2K -0.2%

SPX - daily


VIX - daily


Summary

US equities saw a day of considerable weak leaning chop, the SPX printing a low of 6745, and settling fractionally lower at 6775, as the equity bear lacked any downside power.  

Volatility was a little mixed, the VIX settling -2.8% to 24.23.
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Bullish green shoots


A fine day




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