Monday, 6 October 2025

October skies

US equity indexes mostly closed on a positive note, SPX +24pts (0.4%) at 6740. Nasdaq comp' +0.7%. Dow -0.1%. The Transports settled +0.3%. R2K +0.4%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities saw considerable chop, if battling upward, the SPX printing 6749, and settling at 6740. 

Volatility remained subdued, the VIX settling -1.7% to 16.37.
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Bullish green


More bullish... twilight


 99.7%



Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Saturday, 4 October 2025

Weekend update - World equity markets

It was a mixed month for world equity markets, with net monthly changes ranging from +6.3% (South Africa), +5.2% (Japan), +3.2% (Brazil), +1.9% (USA), +0.6% (India, China), -0.1% (Germany), -1.2% (Australia), -7.3% (Russia), to -10.5% (Argentina).

Lets take our regular look at ten of the world equity markets.

USA - Dow


Germany – DAX


Japan – Nikkei


Brazil – Bovespa

 

Russia - MOEX


India – SENSEX


China – Shanghai comp'


South Africa – Dow


Argentina - MerVal


Australia – AORD


Summary

Six world equity markets were net higher for September, with four net lower.

South Africa was very powerfully higher, whilst Argentina was severely lower.

The USA, Japanese, Brazilian, and South African markets broke new historic highs.

Eight markets are trading above their respective monthly 10MA, the two exceptions being Russian and Argentina.

Seven markets have positive monthly momentum, the three exceptions being Russia, India, and Argentina. 

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Looking ahead

Earnings:

M - $STZ $AEHR

T - $MKC $PENG $SAR

W - $AZZ $RGP $BSET $RELL

T - $DAL $BYRN $TLRY $PEP $NEOG $HELE $APLD $APOG $LEVI

F -

-

Econ-data/events:

M -

T - Intl' trade, consumer credit (3pm)

W - EIA Pet', FOMC mins (2pm)

T - Powell (8.30am), weekly jobs, wholesale invent', 

F - Consumer sent', US T-budget (2pm) 

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Have a good weekend
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*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EDT on Monday.

Friday, 3 October 2025

Net bullish Friday

US equity indexes mostly closed on a positive note, SPX +0.4pts (0.01%) at 6715. Nasdaq comp' -0.3%. Dow +0.5%. The Transports settled +0.6%. R2K +0.7%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened broadly flat, if leaning upward to print a new hist' high of 6750. There was moderate cooling to 6705, and settling at 6715. Volatility was a little mixed, the VIX printing a morning low of 16.20, a mini spike to 17.06, and cooling back to settle +0.1% to 16.65.  


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Thursday, 2 October 2025

Anti-toy Thursday

US equity indexes closed on a positive note, SPX +4pts (0.1%) at 6715. Nasdaq comp' +0.4%. Dow +0.2%. The Transports settled +0.6%. R2K +0.6%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily


Summary

Equities opened on a positive note, the SPX printing a new hist' high of 6731, if cooling back to settle fractionally higher at 6715. Volatility picked up... a little, the VIX settling +2.1% to 16.53. 


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Wednesday, 1 October 2025

The fourth quarter

US equity indexes mostly closed on a positive note, SPX +22pts (0.3%) at 6711. Nasdaq comp' +0.4%. Dow +0.1%. The Transports settled -0.4%. R2K +0.2%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened on a weak note, but all the bears could manage was 6656. There was a significant recovery into the afternoon, printing a new hist' high of 6718, and settling at 6711. 

Volatility remained subdued, the VIX printing a (cash market) high of 16.82, but cooling back to settle  +0.1% to 16.29.  
-

 

Bullish G type stars


   A fine evening

 

Starship test'11... due Oct'13th


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Tuesday, 30 September 2025

Sept/Q3 settles

US equity indexes mostly closed positive, SPX +27pts (0.4%) at 6688. Nasdaq comp' +0.3%. Dow +0.2%. The Transports settled -0.3%. R2K +0.1%

SPX - daily



VIX - daily


Summary

US equities saw considerable chop, the SPX printing a low of 6641, but swinging to 6691, and settling moderately higher at 6688. Volatility was a little higher, the VIX settling +1.0% to 16.28.
-

Autumn/Fall


A fine end to September/Q3

 

6.55pm BST


Next full moon is Monday Oct'6th


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Monday, 29 September 2025

Black daily Doji

US equity indexes closed a little higher, SPX +17pts (0.3%) at 6661. Nasdaq comp' +0.5%. Dow +0.15%. The Transports settled +0.25%. R2K +0.1%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily



Summary

US equities opened positive, with the SPX printing a high of 6677, if cooling back to 6661. Today's SPX candle is black doji, which leans net bearish into end month/quarter. On a stretch... the bears might print the 6580s with VIX 18s.  

Volatility picked up, but most of the gain was technical (due to the new week), the VIX settling +5.4% to 16.12.  


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Saturday, 27 September 2025

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a mixed week for US equity indexes, with net weekly changes ranging from -0.7% (R2K), -0.6% (Nasdaq comp'), -0.3% (SPX), -0.15% (Dow), -0.1% (NYSE comp'), to +0.8% (Trans).

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans

Summary

Five indexes were net lower for the week, whilst the Transports was higher.

The R2K was the weakest index... if only moderately, whilst the Trans was moderately higher. 

The SPX, Nasdaq, Dow, NYSE, and R2K broke new hist' highs.  

Looking ahead

Earnings:

M - $CCL $PRGS $JEF $IVA $MTN

T - $LW $UNFI $PAYX $NKE 

W - $AYI $CAG $RZLV $NG $CALM $RPM

T - $ANGO 

F -

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Econ-data/events

M - Pending home sales

T - Case-Shiller HPI, Chicago PMI, JOLTS, consumer conf'

W - ADP jobs, construction, PMI & ISM manu', vehicle sales

T - Weekly jobs, factory orders

F - Monthly jobs, PMI & ISM serv'

*As Tuesday is end month/Q3, I'd expect dynamic price action on heavy vol'.  

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Have a good weekend
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*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EST on Monday.

Friday, 26 September 2025

Net positive Friday

US equity indexes closed on a positive note, SPX +38pts (0.6%) at 6643. Nasdaq comp' +0.4%. Dow +0.6%. The Transports settled +0.4%. R2K +0.9%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened on a positive note, with the SPX printing 6648. From there... rather swift cooling to 6604. A secondary bounce saw the market settle at 6643. Volatility was mixed, the VIX printed a morning high of 16.95, but cooled back to settle -8.7% to 15.29. 


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Thursday, 25 September 2025

A red Thursday

US equity indexes closed on a weak note, SPX -33pts (0.5%) at 6604. Nasdaq comp' -0.5%. Dow -0.4%. The Transports settled -0.1%. R2K -1.0%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened broadly lower, with the SPX cooling to 6569. The late afternoon saw a recovery to settle at 6604. Volatility picked up, the VIX printing an opening high of 17.74, and settling +3.5% to 16.74. 
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Every day... setting a little further to the left. 


     A beacon of hope in the darkness


Escaping into the west

-
Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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