Tuesday, 30 September 2025

Sept/Q3 settles

US equity indexes mostly closed positive, SPX +27pts (0.4%) at 6688. Nasdaq comp' +0.3%. Dow +0.2%. The Transports settled -0.3%. R2K +0.1%

SPX - daily



VIX - daily


Summary

US equities saw considerable chop, the SPX printing a low of 6641, but swinging to 6691, and settling moderately higher at 6688. Volatility was a little higher, the VIX settling +1.0% to 16.28.
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Autumn/Fall


A fine end to September/Q3

 

6.55pm BST


Next full moon is Monday Oct'6th


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Monday, 29 September 2025

Black daily Doji

US equity indexes closed a little higher, SPX +17pts (0.3%) at 6661. Nasdaq comp' +0.5%. Dow +0.15%. The Transports settled +0.25%. R2K +0.1%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily



Summary

US equities opened positive, with the SPX printing a high of 6677, if cooling back to 6661. Today's SPX candle is black doji, which leans net bearish into end month/quarter. On a stretch... the bears might print the 6580s with VIX 18s.  

Volatility picked up, but most of the gain was technical (due to the new week), the VIX settling +5.4% to 16.12.  


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Saturday, 27 September 2025

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a mixed week for US equity indexes, with net weekly changes ranging from -0.7% (R2K), -0.6% (Nasdaq comp'), -0.3% (SPX), -0.15% (Dow), -0.1% (NYSE comp'), to +0.8% (Trans).

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans

Summary

Five indexes were net lower for the week, whilst the Transports was higher.

The R2K was the weakest index... if only moderately, whilst the Trans was moderately higher. 

The SPX, Nasdaq, Dow, NYSE, and R2K broke new hist' highs.  

Looking ahead

Earnings:

M - $CCL $PRGS $JEF $IVA $MTN

T - $LW $UNFI $PAYX $NKE 

W - $AYI $CAG $RZLV $NG $CALM $RPM

T - $ANGO 

F -

-

Econ-data/events

M - Pending home sales

T - Case-Shiller HPI, Chicago PMI, JOLTS, consumer conf'

W - ADP jobs, construction, PMI & ISM manu', vehicle sales

T - Weekly jobs, factory orders

F - Monthly jobs, PMI & ISM serv'

*As Tuesday is end month/Q3, I'd expect dynamic price action on heavy vol'.  

-

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Have a good weekend
--

*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EST on Monday.

Friday, 26 September 2025

Net positive Friday

US equity indexes closed on a positive note, SPX +38pts (0.6%) at 6643. Nasdaq comp' +0.4%. Dow +0.6%. The Transports settled +0.4%. R2K +0.9%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened on a positive note, with the SPX printing 6648. From there... rather swift cooling to 6604. A secondary bounce saw the market settle at 6643. Volatility was mixed, the VIX printed a morning high of 16.95, but cooled back to settle -8.7% to 15.29. 


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Thursday, 25 September 2025

A red Thursday

US equity indexes closed on a weak note, SPX -33pts (0.5%) at 6604. Nasdaq comp' -0.5%. Dow -0.4%. The Transports settled -0.1%. R2K -1.0%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened broadly lower, with the SPX cooling to 6569. The late afternoon saw a recovery to settle at 6604. Volatility picked up, the VIX printing an opening high of 17.74, and settling +3.5% to 16.74. 
-

Every day... setting a little further to the left. 


     A beacon of hope in the darkness


Escaping into the west

-
Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Wednesday, 24 September 2025

Midweek weakness

US equity indexes mostly closed on a weak note. SPX -18pts (0.3%) at 6637. Nasdaq comp' -0.3%. Dow -0.4%. The Transports settled -0.1%. R2K -0.9%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily



Summary

US equities opened choppy, if leaning weak, the SPX printing 6621, and recovering to settle at 6637.

Volatility was a little mixed, the VIX printing 17.21, but cooling back to settle -2.8% to 16.18.  

-

   A fine day


Bullish St' Mary's


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Tuesday, 23 September 2025

Turnaround Tuesday

US equity indexes mostly closed on a weak note, SPX -36pts (0.5%) at 6656. Nasdaq comp' -0.9%. Dow -0.2%. The Transports settled +0.6%. R2K -0.3%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened broadly flat, but it was enough for the SPX to print a new hist' high of 6699. From there... increasing weakness to print an afternoon low of 6645, and settling at 6656. 

Volatility was mixed, the VIX printing an opening low of 16.32, climbing to 17.07, settling +3.3% to 16.54. 
-

A fine evening


Bullish St Mary's


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Monday, 22 September 2025

Climbing into the Fall

US equity indexes closed on a positive note, SPX +29pts (0.4%) at 6693. Nasdaq comp' +0.7%. Dow +0.1%. The Transports settled u/c. R2K +0.6%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened a little weak, but all the bears could manage was 6648, before clawing back upward to print a new hist' high of 6698, and settling at 6693.

Volatility was a little mixed, the VIX printing 16.05, but cooling back to settle +4.2% to 16.10.  

-

 
6.49pm BST... the sun sets on summer 2025
 

https://www.stmarysharrow.org.uk 


7.19pm BST... the Fall has begun


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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Saturday, 20 September 2025

Weekend update - US equity indexes

It was a bullish week for most US equity indexes, with net weekly changes ranging from +2.2% (Nasdaq comp' & R2K), 1.2% (SPX), +1.0% (Dow), +0.6% (NYSE comp'), to -0.1% (Trans).

Lets take our regular look at six of the main US indexes

sp'500

Nasdaq comp'

Dow

R2K

NYSE comp'

Trans


Summary

Five indexes were net higher for the week, with one net lower.

The Nasdaq and R2K were very significantly higher, whilst the Transports was fractionally lower.

The SPX, Nasdaq, Dow, NYSE comp', and R2K broke new historic highs. 

Looking ahead

It will be a lighter week... 

Earnings:

M - $MRT $FLY $GNFT

T - $AZO $MU $AIR $WOR $MLKN $AYTU

W - $CTAS $UEC $THO $KBH $FUL $SFIX $SCS $WS

T - $ACN $KMX $BB $JBL $SNX $LUXE $COST $CNXC $LGCY $LPTH

F - $KNOP

-

Econ-data/events

M - -

T - PMI serv' & manu', Powell (12.35pm)

W - New home sales, EIA Pet'

T - Weekly jobs, Q2 GDP (print'3), intl' trade, retail & wholesale invent', Durable goods orders, existing home sales, 

F - Pers' income/outlays, PCE, consumer sent'

-

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Have a good weekend
--

*the next post on this page will likely appear 4.20pm EST on Monday.

Friday, 19 September 2025

666 > 6666 across 17 years

US equity indexes closed somewhat mixed, SPX +32pts (0.5%) at 6664. Nasdaq comp' +0.7%. Dow +0.4%. The Transports settled -0.2%. R2K -0.8%

SPX - daily

VIX - daily

Summary

US equities opened a little mixed, and whilst the Trans/R2K struggled, the SPX still managed a new hist' high of 6671, settling moderately higher at 6664. Volatility was ground lower into the weekend, the VIX settling -1.6% to 15.45
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666>6666 

 

Back in 2009... the SPX punched in a floor from the infamous (if appropriate) number of 666.
It took some seventeen years to print the almost equally kooky 6666. 


Extra charts in AH (usually around 5pm EDT) @ https://x.com/Trading_Sunset

Goodnight from London
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